{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
  "slug": "kxsenatelar-26",
  "question": "Will the Louisiana Republican Senate nominee be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "louisiana-senate",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "us-politics",
    "nominee-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate emerges as the Louisiana Republican Senate nominee. Each Kalshi contract prices a single named candidate's probability of winning the nomination. All eight resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the official party nominee result. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026, after Louisiana's primary process concludes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FKJW2Y81T8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9TXRJ90PS5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATELAR-26-BCAS",
      "question": "Will Bill Cassidy be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?",
      "description": "Bill Cassidy",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Cassidy: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced Senate seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-17T13:11:11Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Cassidy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Louisiana Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 169.88,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bill cassidy",
        "louisiana",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FSMV068KV9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATELAR-26-JFLEM",
      "question": "Will John Fleming be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?",
      "description": "John Fleming",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Fleming: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced Senate seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-28T02:51:43Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-28T02:51:43Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Fleming wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Louisiana Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 56.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 11051.77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "john fleming",
        "louisiana",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RC7CRNR3R4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATELAR-26-BMIG",
      "question": "Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?",
      "description": "Blake Miguez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Blake Miguez: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced Senate seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-17T13:11:21Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Blake Miguez wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Louisiana Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "blake miguez",
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        "nominee",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBV1FHWDM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATELAR-26-SWYA",
      "question": "Will Sammy Wyatt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?",
      "description": "Sammy Wyatt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Sammy Wyatt: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced Senate seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-17T13:11:32Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Sammy Wyatt wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Louisiana Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.48,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "louisiana",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "sammy wyatt",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HG0B3078G1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATELAR-26-JEME",
      "question": "Will Julie Emerson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?",
      "description": "Julie Emerson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Julie Emerson: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced Senate seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-17T13:11:41Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Julie Emerson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Louisiana Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 27.99,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "julie emerson",
        "louisiana",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "senate"
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        {
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7YWGDHH7P7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATELAR-26-KSEI",
      "question": "Will Kathy Seiden be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?",
      "description": "Kathy Seiden",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kathy Seiden: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced Senate seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-17T13:11:51Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kathy Seiden wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Louisiana Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.15,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kathy seiden",
        "louisiana",
        "nominee",
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        "senate"
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        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1H8L0BZH63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATELAR-26-ESKR",
      "question": "Will Eric Skrmetta be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?",
      "description": "Eric Skrmetta",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Eric Skrmetta: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced Senate seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-17T13:12:03Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Eric Skrmetta wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Louisiana Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 1.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FKJW2Y81T8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9Y8RWQVC4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATELAR-26-JLET",
      "question": "Will Julia Letlow be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Louisiana?",
      "description": "Julia Letlow",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Julia Letlow: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced Senate seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-28T02:51:43Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-28T02:51:43Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Julia Letlow wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Louisiana Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 5766.7,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9TXRJ90PS5",
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    },
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      "deadline_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBV1FHWDM2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HG0B3078G1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7YWGDHH7P7",
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