{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1SXNHV9T2",
  "slug": "kxsenatemir-26",
  "question": "Who will be the Michigan Republican Senate nominee?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-2026",
    "michigan-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "nominee-selection",
    "electoral-process"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for Michigan's 2026 U.S. Senate seat. Each Kalshi contract prices a single candidate's nomination probability as a binary outcome. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the Republican Party's official nominee announcement by January 1, 2027. Traders seeking aggregate nomination probability must sum individual contracts manually.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z1FKZ62VD7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z1FKZ62VD7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1SXNHV9T2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEMIR-26-MROG",
      "question": "Will Mike Rogers be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?",
      "description": "Mike Rogers",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Rogers: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named Senate seat resolves by January 1, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff review of party records.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mike Rogers wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Michigan Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50085.31,
      "volume_total_usd": 54867.3,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "michigan",
        "mike rogers",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P88ZNFM2B1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1SXNHV9T2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEMIR-26-BSMI",
      "question": "Will Bernadette Smith be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?",
      "description": "Bernadette Smith",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bernadette Smith: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named Senate seat resolves by January 1, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff review of party records.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bernadette Smith wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Michigan Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12.44,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bernadette smith",
        "michigan",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2R89WT04R1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1SXNHV9T2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEMIR-26-KBEN",
      "question": "Will Kent Benham be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?",
      "description": "Kent Benham",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kent Benham: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named Senate seat resolves by January 1, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff review of party records.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kent Benham wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Michigan Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "kent benham",
        "michigan",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5WL43JZPP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1SXNHV9T2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEMIR-26-FHEU",
      "question": "Will Frederick Heurtebise be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?",
      "description": "Frederick Heurtebise",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Frederick Heurtebise: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named Senate seat resolves by January 1, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff review of party records.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Frederick Heurtebise wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Michigan Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.38,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "frederick heurtebise",
        "michigan",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96VWFH93K5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1SXNHV9T2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSENATEMIR-26-GSCO",
      "question": "Will Genevieve Scott be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Michigan?",
      "description": "Genevieve Scott",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Genevieve Scott: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named Senate seat resolves by January 1, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff review of party records.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Genevieve Scott wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate Michigan Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "genevieve scott",
        "michigan",
        "nominee",
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-G1SXNHV9T2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}