{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
  "slug": "kxsheltercpi-26jun10",
  "question": "Shelter CPI for all urban consumers, May 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      428,
      428
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 426,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 426,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 426,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 427,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 428,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 428,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 428,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 428,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-inflation",
    "shelter-cpi",
    "economic-data",
    "2026",
    "housing-costs"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [
    "cpi",
    "jobs",
    "gdp",
    "fomc"
  ],
  "catalyst_dates": [
    {
      "date": "2026-06-05",
      "type": "jobs",
      "label": "Employment Situation",
      "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/ces/"
    }
  ],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics shelter component of the CPI for All Urban Consumers for May 2026. All eight markets are Kalshi-listed and price discrete rate-level tiers, each representing a different year-over-year or month-over-month threshold for the shelter index. Together they form a probability distribution across possible shelter CPI outcomes rather than a single binary result. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution, referencing the BLS release expected around June 17, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-T7PDVG95Q1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ST1ZJX1H11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T425.5",
      "question": "Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 425.5 ?",
      "description": "Above 425.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter component for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 425.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3269.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 426,
      "question_id": "CMX-6DC71981E8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "shelter",
        "us shelter cpi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D22D2LBWN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T426.0",
      "question": "Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 426.0 ?",
      "description": "Above 426.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter component for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 426.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1273.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 426,
      "question_id": "CMX-E87C37120B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "shelter",
        "us shelter cpi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2H5WQ34HP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T426.5",
      "question": "Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 426.5 ?",
      "description": "Above 426.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter component for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 426.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2283.09,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 426,
      "question_id": "CMX-A9AAF169AE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "shelter",
        "us shelter cpi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2KZQLHQK70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T427.0",
      "question": "Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 427.0 ?",
      "description": "Above 427.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter component for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 427.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2157.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 427,
      "question_id": "CMX-348EE52764",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "shelter",
        "us shelter cpi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8BY0Q35K37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T427.5",
      "question": "Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 427.5 ?",
      "description": "Above 427.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter component for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 427.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1511.11,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 428,
      "question_id": "CMX-394764C314",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "may-2026",
        "shelter",
        "us shelter cpi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D9QQJKGJM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T427.75",
      "question": "Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 427.75 ?",
      "description": "Above 427.75 ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter component for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 427.75 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 428,
      "question_id": "CMX-D9760AA45F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "shelter",
        "us shelter cpi"
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T7PDVG95Q1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T428.0",
      "question": "Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 428.0 ?",
      "description": "Above 428.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter component for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 428.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1051.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 428,
      "question_id": "CMX-C6D2C88284",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "may-2026",
        "shelter",
        "us shelter cpi"
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        }
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LZG1M8W7R7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSHELTERCPI-26JUN10-T428.25",
      "question": "Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 be above 428.25 ?",
      "description": "Above 428.25 ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter component for May 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 428.25 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market uses FRED series CUSR0000SAH1: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_total_usd": 0.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 428,
      "question_id": "CMX-9B11CA2FFF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "inflation",
        "may-2026",
        "shelter",
        "us shelter cpi"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ST1ZJX1H11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D22D2LBWN5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2H5WQ34HP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-10T12:29:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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