{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
  "slug": "kxskexpyoy-26july31",
  "question": "South Korea exports YoY for July 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      60,
      65
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 50,
        "prob": 92
      },
      {
        "threshold": 55,
        "prob": 83
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60,
        "prob": 53
      },
      {
        "threshold": 65,
        "prob": 36
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70,
        "prob": 23
      },
      {
        "threshold": 75,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 80,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 85,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 90,
        "prob": 3
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "south-korea-exports",
    "year-over-year-growth",
    "economic-indicator",
    "july-2026",
    "trade-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track South Korea's official year-over-year export growth rate for July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as nine binary strike thresholds, ranging from 50% to 90% YoY. The ladder of strikes allows traders to express a probability distribution across the full range of outcomes. Kalshi staff determination draws on official trade data published by Korea's Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy, with resolution expected by August 8, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-X5GMTJWWZ1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.36,
    "implied_probability": 0.36
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZTHGX1M9V7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T50.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 50.0%?",
      "description": "Above 50.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 50.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 50.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2898.773,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": "CMX-B67DDC1B19",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TL9LQYW0D0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T55.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 55.0%?",
      "description": "Above 55.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 55.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 55.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1212.2315999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 55,
      "question_id": "CMX-C59A23C0DD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PVW8CMCNG7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T60.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 60.0%?",
      "description": "Above 60.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 60.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 60.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 244.39360000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": "CMX-3930AAA72C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X5GMTJWWZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T65.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 65.0%?",
      "description": "Above 65.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 65.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 65.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.36,
      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 373.5936,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 65,
      "question_id": "CMX-EE6058839D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7C4KW90J01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T70.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 70.0%?",
      "description": "Above 70.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 70.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 70.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 278.48629999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70,
      "question_id": "CMX-37B644179B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CSGPD7J577",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T75.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 75.0%?",
      "description": "Above 75.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 75.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 75.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 318.5632,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 75,
      "question_id": "CMX-6B00E96640",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4SCCLWY2C7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T80.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 80.0%?",
      "description": "Above 80.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 80.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 80.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 38.558600000000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": "CMX-65C0659715",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WGF3G99RY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T85.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 85.0%?",
      "description": "Above 85.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 85.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 85.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 78.99640000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 85,
      "question_id": "CMX-F9FF4D9F9B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TZXQ2MJDG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSKEXPYOY-26JULY31-T90.0",
      "question": "Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 90.0%?",
      "description": "Above 90.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 90.0%: South Korea's year-over-year exports for July 2026 resolve via Kalshi staff determination using official trade data released by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T01:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 90.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 160.5603,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": "CMX-07036C2B6F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic indicator",
        "exports",
        "south korea",
        "south korea exports",
        "yoy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}