{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
  "slug": "kxsolmaxmon-sol-26jul31",
  "question": "SOL trimmed mean by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      80,
      85
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 80,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 85,
        "prob": 10
      },
      {
        "threshold": 90,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 95,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 105,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 110,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 115,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "solana-price",
    "crypto-july-2026",
    "price-prediction",
    "evm-alternative",
    "volatility-bet"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track SOL's price level against eight discrete strike thresholds ranging from $80 to $115 as of July 31, 2026. Each Kalshi contract is a binary at a distinct price level, together forming an implied cumulative distribution of SOL's end-of-month price. The reference price is the CF Benchmarks trimmed mean, observed August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination. The trimmed mean methodology excludes outlier prints, so spot spikes near month-end may not satisfy resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-X49VCJYZ70",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.04,
    "implied_probability": 0.04
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CHL405FKR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26JUL31-8000",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be above $80.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $80.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $80.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the listed asset closed above the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-02T11:59:56Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $\n80.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2315.24,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": "CMX-721E425B28",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X49VCJYZ70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26JUL31-8500",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be above $85.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $85.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $85.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the listed asset closed above the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $\n85.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 151.8384,
      "volume_total_usd": 1200.116,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 85,
      "question_id": "CMX-943B8AFCFB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FYCZT04JH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26JUL31-9000",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be above $90.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $90.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $90.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the listed asset closed above the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $\n90.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 325.5671,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": "CMX-13AA9D82C5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TRVK2FLKC2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26JUL31-9500",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be above $95.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $95.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $95.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the listed asset closed above the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $\n95.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 354.1368,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 95,
      "question_id": "CMX-01DE39255C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-028JP17Z94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26JUL31-10000",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be above $100.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $100.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $100.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the listed asset closed above the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $\n100.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 345.82660000000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": "CMX-D12E4BBFE8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MLZYQQX930",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26JUL31-10500",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be above $105.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $105.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $105.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the listed asset closed above the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $\n105.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 67.55930000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 105,
      "question_id": "CMX-D6F47B8FDF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-26L3XS52N8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26JUL31-11000",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be above $110.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $110.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $110.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the listed asset closed above the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $\n110.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.175899999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 88.1782,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 110,
      "question_id": "CMX-0AE85FBCA6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "crypto",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJVQ3WZPJ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VRB1HRZM63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26JUL31-11500",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be above $115.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $115.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $115.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 8, 2026, at 03:59:59 UTC, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the listed asset closed above the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $\n115.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
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