{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
  "slug": "kxsolminmon-sol-26jul31",
  "question": "SOL trimmed mean by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "below",
    "implied_band": [
      35,
      null
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 35,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 40,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 45,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 55,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 65,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70,
        "prob": 26
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "solana-price",
    "crypto-derivatives",
    "july-2026",
    "price-floor",
    "monthly-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track SOL's closing price level on July 31, 2026. Kalshi structures eight binary strikes from $35 to $70, each asking whether the CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closes below that threshold. The spread of strikes creates an implied distribution of downside probability across discrete price levels. Kalshi staff determination references CF Benchmarks as the authoritative price source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V01ZBRG2V2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.01,
    "implied_probability": 0.01
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X8KRPCNTG7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUL31-7000",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be below $70.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $70.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $70.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price as of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, determines whether the referenced outcome resolves yes or no by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $70.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 161.3535,
      "volume_total_usd": 8958.2997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 70,
      "question_id": "CMX-B271DBD0EF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "floor",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MJ6LC0ZKD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUL31-6500",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be below $65.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $65.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $65.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price as of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, determines whether the referenced outcome resolves yes or no by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $65.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 105.8715,
      "volume_total_usd": 787.7435999999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 65,
      "question_id": "CMX-1905F00EE9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "floor",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-709F39DNK0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUL31-6000",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be below $60.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $60.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $60.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price as of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, determines whether the referenced outcome resolves yes or no by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $60.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.8427,
      "volume_total_usd": 506.0133,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": "CMX-00EA4A7862",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "floor",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FL6MKBLQH8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUL31-5500",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be below $55.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $55.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $55.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price as of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, determines whether the referenced outcome resolves yes or no by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $55.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 157.0834,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 55,
      "question_id": "CMX-81D9D13485",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "floor",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9TKCJK4NP0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUL31-5000",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be below $50.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $50.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $50.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price as of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, determines whether the referenced outcome resolves yes or no by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $50.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 258.74429999999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": "CMX-9EFE04DF49",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "floor",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K2C023RWS9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUL31-4500",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be below $45.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $45.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $45.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price as of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, determines whether the referenced outcome resolves yes or no by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $45.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21.2754,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 45,
      "question_id": "CMX-21EE5E4E5C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "floor",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-861L82BFB6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUL31-4000",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be below $40.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $40.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $40.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price as of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, determines whether the referenced outcome resolves yes or no by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $40.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.3851,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": "CMX-AAE043000A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "floor",
        "price",
        "sol",
        "solana"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V01ZBRG2V2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26JUL31-3500",
      "question": "Will SOL trimmed mean be below $35.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $35.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $35.00: CF Benchmarks trimmed mean closing price as of 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, determines whether the referenced outcome resolves yes or no by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $35.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF SOLUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JNG5FJGY52",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}