{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
  "slug": "kxspacexstarship-13",
  "question": "Will SpaceX conduct the 13th launch of Starship?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "spacex",
    "starship",
    "launch",
    "2026",
    "space-exploration"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether SpaceX conducts its 13th Starship launch by successive deadlines spanning June 30 through September 16, 2026. Each contract is a binary yes/no at a distinct cutoff date, creating a term structure of launch probability across the summer window. Earlier strikes price near-term execution risk; later strikes price cumulative probability as the window extends. All six contracts resolve via Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WY50GXC4N8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.91
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DTF1LL8DH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUN30",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 202.732,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A123BE20CA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "launch",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship launch",
        "starship"
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-98TQFGCFG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL16",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 16, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 17th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 17th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-17T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "score": 100,
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 2357.1898,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DFFEF402D2",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL31",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Before August",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before August: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4258.1448,
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-690E93429A",
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      "tags": [
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          "reasons": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1XZYTDJZ23",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26AUG16",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Aug 16, 2026?",
      "description": "Before August 17th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before August 17th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-17T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before August 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
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      "question_id": "CMX-ECDDA44859",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26AUG31",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Before September",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before September: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-07T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before September 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
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}