{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
  "slug": "kxspacexstarship-13",
  "question": "Will SpaceX conduct the 13th launch of Starship?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "spacex",
    "starship",
    "space-exploration",
    "launch-schedule",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether SpaceX conducts its 13th Starship launch by various deadlines spanning June 30 through September 16, 2026. All 13 contracts are binary Kalshi markets structured as cumulative deadline thresholds. Later-dated contracts must imply equal or higher probability than earlier ones, creating a term structure of launch timing probability. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution across all contracts.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WY50GXC4N8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DTF1LL8DH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUN30",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "FAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 202.73,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A123BE20CA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "launch",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship launch",
        "starship"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-98TQFGCFG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL16",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 16, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 17th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 17th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-17T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-17T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "FAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2357.19,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DFFEF402D2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "launch",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship launch",
        "starship"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0K5LNZW8K2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL17",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 17, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 18th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 18th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-18T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-18T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "FAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 395.69,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "launch",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship launch",
        "starship"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VQKM39YRQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL18",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 18, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 19th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 19th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-19T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-19T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "FAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.56,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "launch",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship launch",
        "starship"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y7KK71QY65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL19",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 20th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 20th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-20T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-20T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "FAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 26.19,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "launch",
        "spacex",
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        "starship"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0BK6C4S350",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL20",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 20, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 21st",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 21st: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-21T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-21T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 497.96,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "launch",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship launch",
        "starship"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9VFF49SHD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL23",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 24th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 24th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "FAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 647.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 1008.11,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "launch",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship launch",
        "starship"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PLVPMNW2W1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL24",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 24, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 25th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 25th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-25T00:04:30Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-25T00:04:30Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FAA",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FAA",
            "url": "https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/updates-grounding-boeing-737-max-9-aircraft",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FAA",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 42.88,
      "volume_total_usd": 69.55,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "launch",
        "spacex",
        "spacex starship launch",
        "starship"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NSH63JNYS7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5B4GMY413",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-13-26JUL25",
      "question": "Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 25, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July 26th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July 26th: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-25T00:04:30Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-25T00:04:30Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 13 before July 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nIf source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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