{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
  "slug": "kxspot-26julmau",
  "question": "Spotify monthly active users, Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      780000000,
      781000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 765000000,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 770000000,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 775000000,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 776000000,
        "prob": 93
      },
      {
        "threshold": 777000000,
        "prob": 89
      },
      {
        "threshold": 778000000,
        "prob": 75
      },
      {
        "threshold": 779000000,
        "prob": 55
      },
      {
        "threshold": 780000000,
        "prob": 50
      },
      {
        "threshold": 781000000,
        "prob": 38
      },
      {
        "threshold": 782000000,
        "prob": 23
      },
      {
        "threshold": 785000000,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 790000000,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "spotify",
    "monthly-active-users",
    "q2-2026",
    "user-growth",
    "streaming-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Spotify's Q2 2026 monthly active user count against discrete strike thresholds. Kalshi structures the event as a strike ladder, pricing the probability of exceeding each level from 765 million to 790 million. Together they imply a market-consensus range for the reported MAU figure. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination against Spotify's official Q2 2026 earnings disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-81QB10Y8Q1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0XKC8VKJH8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-P765000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 765 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 765 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 765 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 765000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1048.5981,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 765000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1C2EFC3716",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X8Z4HLQ2F0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-P770000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 770 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 770 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 770 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 770000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1374.2572,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 770000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7C1F1003A8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DHL78N8LQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-P775000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 775 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 775 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 775 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 775000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2425.8608,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 775000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9C40C29AAA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RMF6MTCF09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-776000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 776 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 776 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 776 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 776000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 160.4802,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 776000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ECFA2402B8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T8SWYSDQB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-777000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 777 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 777 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 777 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 777000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 151.86159999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 777000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9775223529",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GTB5HR5BW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-778000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 778 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 778 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 778 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 778000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.7,
      "implied_probability": 0.7,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 286.92999999999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 778000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DFA52DB9AD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0SDYJBR0K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-779000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 779 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 779 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 779 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 779000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.49,
      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.7938000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 756.8294999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 779000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-17DFBB1FEF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NGSZPBT0Y3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-P780000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 780 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 780 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 780 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 780000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.8092,
      "volume_total_usd": 2517.262,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 780000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CA7A2F4E61",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-81QB10Y8Q1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-781000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 781 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 781 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 781 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 781000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 121.644,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 781000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-63E84FCFBF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QWQHJM5C74",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-782000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 782 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 782 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 782 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 782000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 73.3668,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 782000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ADD94DB2D4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8TBWZGPFR1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-P785000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 785 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 785 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 785 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 785000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 138.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 785000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3488653D60",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96LLZS5YK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOT-26JULMAU-P790000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 790 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 790 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 790 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T10:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 790000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.0374,
      "volume_total_usd": 87.61690000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 790000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8EB6D03B77",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "spotify monthly active"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}