{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
  "slug": "kxspot-26julmau",
  "question": "Spotify monthly active users, Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      776000000,
      777000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 765000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 770000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 775000000,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 776000000,
        "prob": 100
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      {
        "threshold": 777000000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 778000000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 779000000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 780000000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 781000000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 782000000,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 785000000,
        "prob": 0
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      {
        "threshold": 790000000,
        "prob": 0
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  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "spotify",
    "monthly-active-users",
    "q2-2026",
    "user-growth",
    "streaming-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Spotify's Q2 2026 monthly active user count against discrete strike thresholds. Kalshi structures the event as a strike ladder, pricing the probability of exceeding each level from 765 million to 790 million. Together they imply a market-consensus range for the reported MAU figure. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination against Spotify's official Q2 2026 earnings disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-T8SWYSDQB1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0,
    "as_of": null
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 765 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 765 million: Spotify Technology's Q2 2026 monthly active user count, as reported in official quarterly earnings and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination, resolves on August 27, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T14:11:33Z",
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      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 770 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 775 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 776 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 777 million monthly active users in Q2 2026?",
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