{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BX733CG062",
  "slug": "kxspota-28janmau",
  "question": "Spotify total monthly active users, January 2028",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      830000000,
      840000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 790000000,
        "prob": 94
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      {
        "threshold": 800000000,
        "prob": 91
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      {
        "threshold": 810000000,
        "prob": 83
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      {
        "threshold": 820000000,
        "prob": 67
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      {
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        "prob": 51
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      {
        "threshold": 840000000,
        "prob": 16
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      {
        "threshold": 850000000,
        "prob": 18
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    ]
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  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "spotify",
    "user-growth",
    "streaming-services",
    "2028",
    "quarterly-metrics"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Spotify's full-year 2026 monthly active user count against discrete strike thresholds. Kalshi prices seven binary outcomes spanning 790 million to 850 million users in 10-million increments. The implied probability curve across strikes reveals market consensus on the MAU range. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against Spotify's official fiscal 2026 earnings disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9P7X1L2CJ3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 790 million total monthly active users in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 790 million",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 790 million: Spotify Technology's fiscal 2026 total monthly active users figure, as reported in official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff, resolves by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 790000000 total monthly active users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 790000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5491F92CFE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mau",
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      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 800 million total monthly active users in 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 800000000 total monthly active users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-810000000",
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        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 810000000 total monthly active users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 810000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3CE97AF608",
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        "mau",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1BH5HDZ1Y8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BX733CG062",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-820000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 820 million total monthly active users in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 820 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 820 million: Spotify Technology's fiscal 2026 total monthly active users figure, as reported in official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff, resolves by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 820000000 total monthly active users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M2X9Z5CD39",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-830000000",
      "question": "Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 830 million total monthly active users in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 830 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 830 million: Spotify Technology's fiscal 2026 total monthly active users figure, as reported in official earnings disclosures and confirmed by Kalshi staff, resolves by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-840000000",
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