{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-91GC6VJ3S0",
  "slug": "kxstateleg-mnhouse26",
  "question": "Will a new winner be elected to the Minnesota State House by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "minnesota-politics",
    "state-legislature",
    "2027-election",
    "us-elections",
    "electoral-competition"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party wins control of the Minnesota State House following the 2026 election. Kalshi lists separate binary contracts for Democratic and Republican outcomes. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination using New York Times official results by November 3, 2026. The paired structure means implied probabilities across both contracts should sum to near 100 percent.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9SVW6SRQJ7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.79,
    "implied_probability": 0.79
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9SVW6SRQJ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-91GC6VJ3S0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSTATELEG-MNHOUSE26-D",
      "question": "Who will win the Minnesota State House?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The New York Times official results for the election, determined by Kalshi staff by November 3, 2026, resolve this outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic party wins the Minnesota State House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nWinning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State House is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 61,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.79,
      "implied_probability": 0.79,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8306.0758,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "minnesota",
        "minnesota state house",
        "state house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZJWLXM9YK3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-91GC6VJ3S0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSTATELEG-MNHOUSE26-R",
      "question": "Who will win the Minnesota State House?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The New York Times official results for the election, determined by Kalshi staff by November 3, 2026, resolve this outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Republican party wins the Minnesota State House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nWinning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State House is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
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        "score": 61,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1836.3365999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "minnesota",
        "minnesota state house",
        "republican",
        "state house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-91GC6VJ3S0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}