{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KTGDWC801",
  "slug": "kxstateleg-nvsena26",
  "question": "Will the Nevada State Senate race be decided by November 3, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "nevada-senate",
    "us-elections-2026",
    "political-race",
    "binary-outcome",
    "state-level"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both Kalshi markets track the 2026 Nevada U.S. Senate race outcome. One contract prices the Democratic candidate's probability of victory; the other prices the Republican candidate's probability. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination. The two contracts are complementary and should sum near 100 absent third-party probability.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-T5KRQBS7W0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.97,
    "implied_probability": 0.97
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T5KRQBS7W0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KTGDWC801",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSTATELEG-NVSENA26-D",
      "question": "Who will win the Nevada Senate?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: Nevada's designated named candidate wins if Kalshi staff determines the listed party's candidate prevailed in the general election, resolved by The New York Times reporting on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic party wins the Nevada Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nWinning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 61,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4989.389,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic party",
        "nevada",
        "nevada state senate",
        "state senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X5DJ3TZ3X0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7KTGDWC801",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSTATELEG-NVSENA26-R",
      "question": "Who will win the Nevada Senate?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: Nevada's designated named candidate wins if Kalshi staff determines the listed party's candidate prevailed in the general election, resolved by The New York Times reporting on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Republican party wins the Nevada Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nWinning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "score": 61,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 43.7092,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nevada",
        "nevada state senate",
        "republican party",
        "state senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7KTGDWC801",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}