{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
  "slug": "kxsuperbowlad-sb2027",
  "question": "Which brands will advertise during the Big Game?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "super-bowl-advertising",
    "brand-marketing",
    "big-game-2027",
    "commercial-spots",
    "consumer-brands"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which brands will purchase airtime during the 2027 Super Bowl broadcast on ABC Sports. Each contract is a binary yes/no on a named advertiser, covering categories from AI platforms to consumer goods. All 20 markets share identical structure and resolve via Kalshi staff determination against ABC Sports broadcast records by February 15, 2027. No cross-platform structural difference exists here; all markets are Kalshi-native binaries on advertiser presence.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-J54T8N78B3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.84,
    "implied_probability": 0.84,
    "as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KRNN0XWVL9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-ZYN",
      "question": "Will Zyn run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Zyn",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Zyn: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Zyn airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T04:00:34.562Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 187.4943,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-00E92F9FDB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nicotine",
        "tobacco",
        "zyn"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PBW2TNXTK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-TEMU",
      "question": "Will Temu run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Temu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Temu: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Temu airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T15:00:46.514Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 129.4219,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-1712F77998",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ecommerce",
        "marketplace",
        "temu"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z2GQ1716F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-PARA",
      "question": "Will Paramount+ run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Paramount+",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Paramount+: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Paramount+ airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 152.49499999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-1921F314EC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "media",
        "paramount",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PQ5N3ZH310",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-NIKE",
      "question": "Will Nike run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Nike",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nike: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nike airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.3076,
      "volume_total_usd": 468.96229999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7515B9DA06",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "apparel",
        "nike",
        "sportswear"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8H7PMWF6R9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-JEEP",
      "question": "Will Jeep run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Jeep",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jeep: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jeep airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "name": "ABC Sports",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
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          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
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            "name": "FOX Sports",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
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            "name": "STAT News",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
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          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "USA Today",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Variety",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.39,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-08T20:00:42.462Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 857.2901999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7F1A2A2873",
      "also_on": null,
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        "automotive",
        "jeep",
        "vehicles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NHN0G0B0P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-GROK",
      "question": "Will Grok run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Grok",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Grok: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Grok airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
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            "name": "ABC Sports",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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          },
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            "name": "CBS Sports",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "ESPN",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Marketing Land",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.51,
      "implied_probability": 0.51,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T19:00:47.824Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 227.4498,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-55E0C125E4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "chatbot",
        "grok"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0L9NNYNPC8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-DOOR",
      "question": "Will DoorDash run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "DoorDash",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "DoorDash: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If DoorDash airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.6,
      "volume_total_usd": 1107.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-75FD218750",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "doordash",
        "ecommerce",
        "food delivery"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q838SKD385",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-DISN",
      "question": "Will Disney+ run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Disney+",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Disney+: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Disney+ airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.8418,
      "volume_total_usd": 1002.7919999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6C30D50489",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "disney",
        "media",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CZBWNV4N86",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-CLAU",
      "question": "Will Anthropic / Claude run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Anthropic / Claude",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Anthropic / Claude: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anthropic / Claude airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-392LTKCH44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-OAKL",
      "question": "Will Oakley run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Oakley",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Oakley: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Oakley airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 55.8532,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-305DA64E33",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "apparel",
        "eyewear",
        "oakley"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W54L4SSPB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-BASE",
      "question": "Will Base44 / Wix run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Base44 / Wix",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Base44 / Wix: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Base44 / Wix airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T11:01:09.506Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 36.0808,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6ABDD0A5F4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "software",
        "web platform",
        "wix"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NHPJ1SMYV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-SPAC",
      "question": "Will SpaceX run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "SpaceX",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "SpaceX: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.54,
      "volume_total_usd": 852.1038000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B641BF560E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aerospace",
        "spacex",
        "technology"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T2SVF0KZ52",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-AMAZ",
      "question": "Will Amazon Prime run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Amazon Prime",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Amazon Prime: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amazon Prime airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FOX Sports",
            "url": "http://www.foxsports.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Marketing Land",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Sports Business Journal",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "STAT News",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Hollywood Reporter",
            "url": "https://www.hollywoodreporter.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the National Football League",
            "url": "https://www.nfl.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USA Today",
            "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Variety",
            "url": "https://variety.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the National Football League",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 33.99400000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 1675.8352,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A5AAC0BDB3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amazon prime",
        "ecommerce",
        "streaming"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7WX3T64CT6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-83YZHTJCD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSUPERBOWLAD-SB2027-LIOU",
      "question": "Will Liquid Death run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
      "description": "Liquid Death",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Liquid Death: Kalshi staff determination by February 15, 2027, based on broadcast records from ABC Sports, whether the named company purchased advertising during the referenced sporting event.",
      "close_at": "2027-02-15T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Liquid Death airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., \"This halftime show brought to you by...\"), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify. Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC Sports",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ad Age",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS Sports",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
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      "question": "Will Allstate run an ad during the Big Game 2027?",
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