{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G35MQ80T62",
  "slug": "kxswedenparli-26",
  "question": "Will the Swedish Social Democrats win the most seats in the next Swedish general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "swedish-politics",
    "electoral-outcomes",
    "2027-resolution",
    "parliamentary-majority",
    "northern-europe"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winning party in the next Swedish general election. Kalshi lists five discrete party outcomes: Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, Moderate Party, Green Party, and Left Party. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination using the Swedish Electoral Authority's official proclamation by September 30, 2026. The authoritative source is Sweden's Valmyndigheten, the national electoral authority responsible for certifying results.",
  "venues_covered": [
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    "implied_probability": 0.97,
    "as_of": "2026-08-28T06:00:59.261Z"
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Who will win the next Swedish general election?",
      "description": "Swedish Social Democratic Party",
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      "underlying_reference": "Swedish Social Democratic Party: The Swedish electoral authority's formal proclamation of general election results, by September 30, 2026, determines which listed party wins the most seats.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Swedish general election is Swedish Social Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.97,
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      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Swedish general election is Sweden Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.012,
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      "question": "Who will win the next Swedish general election?",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Swedish general election is Moderate Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "caps": [],
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TG1T289Q51",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G35MQ80T62",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXSWEDENPARLI-26-GREEN",
      "question": "Who will win the next Swedish general election?",
      "description": "Green Party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Green Party: The Swedish electoral authority's formal proclamation of general election results, by September 30, 2026, determines which listed party wins the most seats.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Swedish general election is Green Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X33W9YVSN9",
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      "question": "Who will win the next Swedish general election?",
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      "close_at": "2027-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Swedish general election is Left Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
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