{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K16NKJL588",
  "slug": "kxtariffratecan-26jul01",
  "question": "Will the US tariff rate on Canada be specified by July 1?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-canada-trade",
    "tariff-policy",
    "2026",
    "trump-administration",
    "trade-war"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the US tariff rate applied to Canadian imports as of July 1, 2026. All seven contracts are Kalshi-native, structured as mutually exclusive rate-level tiers spanning below 10% through above 60%, resolved via Kalshi staff determination. There is no directional binary counterpart here; the full structure prices rate level across discrete bands rather than a single threshold. Resolution references official US trade policy sources as reported at the July 1, 2026 determination date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0CSN7G13D2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CNDXB0NPN2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K16NKJL588",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-5",
      "question": "Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Below 10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below 10%: Kalshi staff determination of the tariff rate on the named country's imports, as reported by the referenced news source, on July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\n\nExamples (for <date> = Jan 1, 2026):\n\n\n\n  \nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\n\n  \nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\n\n   \nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326)\n\n  \nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the President of the United States",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 637.57,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "canada",
        "tariff",
        "trade",
        "us",
        "us tariff rate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0CSN7G13D2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K16NKJL588",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-14",
      "question": "Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Between 10% and 19.99%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Between 10% and 19.99%: Kalshi staff determination of the tariff rate on the named country's imports, as reported by the referenced news source, on July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 10 to 19.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\n\nExamples (for <date> = Jan 1, 2026):\n\n\n\n  \nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\n\n  \nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\n\n   \nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326)\n\n  \nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the President of the United States",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3749.92,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "canada",
        "tariff",
        "trade",
        "us",
        "us tariff rate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M9T9V4CPR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K16NKJL588",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-24",
      "question": "Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Between 20% and 29.99%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Between 20% and 29.99%: Kalshi staff determination of the tariff rate on the named country's imports, as reported by the referenced news source, on July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 20 to 29.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\n\nExamples (for <date> = Jan 1, 2026):\n\n\n\n  \nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\n\n  \nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\n\n   \nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326)\n\n  \nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the President of the United States",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 84.71,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "canada",
        "tariff",
        "trade",
        "us",
        "us tariff rate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1K48H4ZB54",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K16NKJL588",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-34",
      "question": "Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Between 30% and 39.99%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Between 30% and 39.99%: Kalshi staff determination of the tariff rate on the named country's imports, as reported by the referenced news source, on July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 30 to 39.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\n\nExamples (for <date> = Jan 1, 2026):\n\n\n\n  \nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\n\n  \nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\n\n   \nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326)\n\n  \nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the President of the United States",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.19,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "canada",
        "tariff",
        "trade",
        "us",
        "us tariff rate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-40HGS1XXX2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K16NKJL588",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-44",
      "question": "Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Between 40% and 49.99%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Between 40% and 49.99%: Kalshi staff determination of the tariff rate on the named country's imports, as reported by the referenced news source, on July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 40 to 49.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\n\nExamples (for <date> = Jan 1, 2026):\n\n\n\n  \nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\n\n  \nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\n\n   \nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326)\n\n  \nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the United States Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the President of the United States",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.04,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "canada",
        "tariff",
        "trade",
        "us",
        "us tariff rate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-01X91KQT58",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Between 50% and 60%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Between 50% and 60%: Kalshi staff determination of the tariff rate on the named country's imports, as reported by the referenced news source, on July 1, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 50 to 60%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\n\nExamples (for <date> = Jan 1, 2026):\n\n\n\n  \nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\n\n  \nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\n\n   \nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326)\n\n  \nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)",
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          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Fox News",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the United States Congress",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the President of the United States",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 833.73,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "tariff",
        "trade",
        "us",
        "us tariff rate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KL36BLBX77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K16NKJL588",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-30",
      "question": "Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 60%: Kalshi staff determination of the tariff rate on the named country's imports, as reported by the referenced news source, on July 1, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is above 60%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.\n\n\nExamples (for <date> = Jan 1, 2026):\n\n\n\n  \nIndia: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50%\n\n  \nChina: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20%\n\n   \nEuropean Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326)\n\n  \nFalkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Semafor",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.41,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-K16NKJL588",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}