{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YH6B0KCSV8",
  "slug": "kxtariffsector-27jan01",
  "question": "Which sectors will Trump impose tariffs on in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-tariffs",
    "trade-policy",
    "sector-outcomes",
    "2026-economics",
    "us-trade"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These four Kalshi markets track whether Trump issues sector-specific tariff executive actions before January 2027. Each market covers a distinct import category: Canadian aircraft, critical minerals, wind turbines, and foreign-made films. All four resolve via Kalshi staff determination using White House official records and fact sheets. Named executive action must explicitly reference the covered sector to trigger a Yes resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L9V65ZD770",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.2,
    "implied_probability": 0.2
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BDTQ6155S0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YH6B0KCSV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-CAN",
      "question": "Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on Canadian aircraft, where the executive action must explicitly reference Canadian aircraft in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?",
      "description": "Canadian aircraft",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Canadian aircraft: White House official records and fact sheets resolve whether a named executive action explicitly references the listed outcome in its title, operative text, or fact sheet by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President of the United States has taken any executive action in 2026 imposing tariffs specifically on Canadian aircraft, where the executive action must explicitly reference Canadian aircraft in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) and set an effective date, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based on the issuance of an executive action, independent of the effective date or whether the tariffs are subsequently implemented. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 908.2567,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "aircraft",
        "canada",
        "canadian aircraft",
        "executive action",
        "tariff"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-75ZKGJPB11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YH6B0KCSV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-MINE",
      "question": "Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on critical minerals, where the executive action must explicitly reference critical minerals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?",
      "description": "Critical minerals",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Critical minerals: White House official records and fact sheets resolve whether a named executive action explicitly references the listed outcome in its title, operative text, or fact sheet by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President of the United States has taken any executive action in 2026 imposing tariffs specifically on critical minerals, where the executive action must explicitly reference critical minerals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) and set an effective date, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based on the issuance of an executive action, independent of the effective date or whether the tariffs are subsequently implemented. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2257.222,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "critical minerals",
        "executive action",
        "tariff"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L9V65ZD770",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YH6B0KCSV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-WIND",
      "question": "Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on wind turbines, where the executive action must explicitly reference wind turbines in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?",
      "description": "Wind turbines",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Wind turbines: White House official records and fact sheets resolve whether a named executive action explicitly references the listed outcome in its title, operative text, or fact sheet by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President of the United States has taken any executive action in 2026 imposing tariffs specifically on wind turbines, where the executive action must explicitly reference wind turbines in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) and set an effective date, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based on the issuance of an executive action, independent of the effective date or whether the tariffs are subsequently implemented. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1,
      "volume_total_usd": 2492.1580000000004,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "energy",
        "executive action",
        "tariff",
        "wind turbines"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KQVKV6QH01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YH6B0KCSV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-FILM",
      "question": "Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on foreign-made films, where the executive action must explicitly reference foreign-made films in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?",
      "description": "Foreign-made films",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Foreign-made films: White House official records and fact sheets resolve whether a named executive action explicitly references the listed outcome in its title, operative text, or fact sheet by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President of the United States has taken any executive action in 2026 imposing tariffs specifically on foreign-made films, where the executive action must explicitly reference foreign-made films in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) and set an effective date, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based on the issuance of an executive action, independent of the effective date or whether the tariffs are subsequently implemented. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 25.474000000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "executive action",
        "films",
        "foreign made films",
        "media",
        "tariff"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KBRKZ0VV43",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YH6B0KCSV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-PHAR",
      "question": "Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on pharmaceuticals, where the executive action must explicitly reference pharmaceuticals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?",
      "description": "Pharmaceuticals",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The White House publishes executive orders and fact sheets that Kalshi staff review to determine whether Trump issued an executive action explicitly referencing pharmaceuticals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet during 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-06T19:45:06Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President of the United States has taken any executive action in 2026 imposing tariffs specifically on pharmaceuticals, where the executive action must explicitly reference pharmaceuticals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) and set an effective date, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based on the issuance of an executive action, independent of the effective date or whether the tariffs are subsequently implemented. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "the White House",
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        "sources": null,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 12673,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "executive action",
        "pharmaceuticals",
        "tariff"
      ],
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        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KBRKZ0VV43",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YH6B0KCSV8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}