{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
  "slug": "kxtempchih-26aug0414",
  "question": "Temperature in Chicago, August 4, 2026 at 2 PM EDT",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      82,
      83
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 78,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 79,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 80,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 81,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 82,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 83,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 84,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 85,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 86,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 87,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "chicago-weather",
    "temperature-prediction",
    "summer-2026",
    "weather-binary",
    "climate-observation"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Chicago's spot temperature at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds from 78°F through 87°F. Implied probability differences between adjacent strikes reveal the market's inferred temperature distribution. The Weather Company serves as the authoritative data source, with resolution by Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6M8TSG2GW9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.01,
    "implied_probability": 0.01
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-557HQG3F26",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T77.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 77.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "78° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "78° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.97,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.97,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 78,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y5B9LVXJN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T78.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 78.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "79° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "79° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 78.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 74.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 74.25,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 79,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKQ24NS1T5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T79.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 79.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "80° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "80° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 79.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2124.93,
      "volume_total_usd": 2124.93,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F96DZVJDC5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T80.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 80.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "81° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "81° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2777.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 2777.95,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 81,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FYW6JXL030",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T81.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 81.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "82° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "82° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 247.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 326.3,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6M8TSG2GW9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T82.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 82.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "83° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "83° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.72,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 83,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KGZMSH33W2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T83.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 83.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "84° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "84° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 83.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13.91,
      "volume_total_usd": 14.3,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 84,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GLPV3QR3Y9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T84.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 84.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "85° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "85° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 4.87,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 85,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QWGSVDYPM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T85.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 85.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "86° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "86° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
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      "volume_24h_usd": 2.66,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.11,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GV40Q6WSP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPCHIH-26AUG0414-T86.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Chicago be above 86.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "87° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "87° or above: The Weather Company will report the official temperature reading in Chicago at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, with resolution by Kalshi staff on August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPCHIH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Chicago, IL for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KORD), is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.39,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 87,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "chicago",
        "chicago temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6NB5ZKB019",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}