{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
  "slug": "kxtempdch-26aug0414",
  "question": "Temperature in Washington DC, August 4, 2026 at 2 PM EDT",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      87,
      88
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 81,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 82,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 83,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 84,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 85,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 86,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 87,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 88,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 89,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 90,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-temperature",
    "washington-dc",
    "august-2026",
    "real-world-measurement",
    "climate-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Washington DC's spot temperature at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds, from 81°F through 90°F. Each contract prices the probability that temperature meets or exceeds a discrete strike level. Kalshi staff determination uses The Weather Company's recorded observation as the authoritative data source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P53FS9PHD3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.01,
    "implied_probability": 0.01
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XYTYGD7T54",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T80.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 80.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "81° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "81° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 80.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2330.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 2330.76,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 81,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V6DC0TFGJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T81.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 81.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "82° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "82° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4069.47,
      "volume_total_usd": 4069.47,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3KSTPHP2W5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T82.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 82.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "83° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "83° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2922.48,
      "volume_total_usd": 2922.48,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 83,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4CD7N2FV83",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T83.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 83.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "84° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "84° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 83.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 93.33,
      "volume_total_usd": 93.33,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 84,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FXFQ7L0999",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T84.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 84.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "85° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "85° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 84.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 199,
      "volume_total_usd": 199,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 85,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NSLXL8XTR2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T85.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 85.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "86° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "86° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 85.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 342.05,
      "volume_total_usd": 360.44,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 86,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YCVK5CMKF8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T86.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 86.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "87° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "87° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 86.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 809.48,
      "volume_total_usd": 1013.72,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 87,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P53FS9PHD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T87.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 87.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "88° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "88° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 87.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
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          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
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          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.42,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.48,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 88,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C7Y73YTY77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T88.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 88.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "89° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "89° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 88.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 21.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 21.01,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 89,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2ZFWN88JX2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPDCH-26AUG0414-T89.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Washington DC be above 89.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "90° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "90° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature in Washington DC at 2pm EDT on August 4, 2026, determines the outcome, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPDCH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Washington, DC for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KDCA), is above 89.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.8,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.8,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "temperature",
        "temperature washington dc",
        "washington dc",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JL4K3B8TG5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}