{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
  "slug": "kxtemplaxh-26aug0414",
  "question": "Temperature in Los Angeles, August 4, 2026 at 2 PM EDT",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      75,
      76
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 69,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 71,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 72,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 73,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 74,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 75,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 76,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 77,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 78,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "temperature-measurement",
    "los-angeles",
    "weather-2026",
    "point-in-time",
    "celsius-or-fahrenheit"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the recorded temperature in Los Angeles at 2 p.m. EDT on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as ten discrete strike thresholds, from 69 degrees through 78 degrees Fahrenheit. Each contract is a binary yes/no at a specific temperature level, collectively implying a probability distribution over the observed reading. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination, sourced from The Weather Company's recorded temperature for that date and time.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VFYX61P1S9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.01,
    "implied_probability": 0.01
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BG3CNVQV80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T68.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 68.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "69° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "69° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1089,
      "volume_total_usd": 1089,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 69,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "temperature los angeles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KNH7Q1CWS4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T69.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 69.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "70° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "70° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 69.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1089,
      "volume_total_usd": 1089,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "temperature los angeles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K2PR0WWK93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T70.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 70.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "71° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "71° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 70.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1089,
      "volume_total_usd": 1089,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 71,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "temperature los angeles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8KPDPJG8L5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T71.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 71.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "72° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "72° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 71.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1093.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 1093.95,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 72,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "temperature los angeles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TKRRG0Z697",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T72.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 72.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "73° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "73° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 72.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2637.13,
      "volume_total_usd": 2637.13,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 73,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "temperature los angeles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9SPKZX9GT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T73.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 73.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "74° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "74° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 535.49,
      "volume_total_usd": 2095.93,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 74,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "temperature los angeles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GFH1Q4PVG0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T74.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 74.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "75° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "75° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3471.82,
      "volume_total_usd": 5013.25,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 75,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "temperature los angeles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VFYX61P1S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T75.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 75.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "76° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "76° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 75.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
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            "name": "Google Weather",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 58.13,
      "volume_total_usd": 80.54,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 76,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LS6GJMLPY5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T76.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 76.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "77° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "77° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
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          },
          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 40.63,
      "volume_total_usd": 46.92,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 77,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4JZNB2PMV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTEMPLAXH-26AUG0414-T77.99",
      "question": "Will the temp in Los Angeles be above 77.99° on Aug 4, 2026 at 2pm EDT?",
      "description": "78° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "78° or above: The Weather Company's recorded temperature for Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. EDT, verified by Kalshi staff by August 11, 2026, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T18:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXTEMPLAXH, notice id NHIGHD-bulk-2026-06-12):\n**Important information:** Market settlement will process approximately 25–35 minutes after closing to ensure accurate data retrieval from our official source. For updates and historical market data, please visit https://weather.com/kalshi.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA for Aug 4, 2026 2 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KLAX), is above 77.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.\nNWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.\nPreliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.\nUse caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Weather Company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Weather Company",
            "url": "https://weather.com/kalshi",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Reports",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Google Weather",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "The Weather Company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 33.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 33.63,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 78,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "temperature los angeles"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MSY8DVRX32",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}