{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QWL4XW2R90",
  "slug": "kxthegambiapres-26",
  "question": "Will the winner of the Gambian presidential election be determined by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "gambian-politics",
    "presidential-election",
    "west-africa",
    "2027-resolution",
    "electoral-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the next Gambian presidential election, due by December 31, 2026. Each Kalshi contract prices a discrete candidate outcome: Adama Barrow, Ousainou Darboe, Essa Faal, or Mama Kandeh. All four resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the Gambian electoral authority's formal proclamation. Only one contract settles yes; the rest settle no.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GQ7Y0TS977",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.66,
    "implied_probability": 0.66,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GQ7Y0TS977",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QWL4XW2R90",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26-ABAR",
      "question": "Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?",
      "description": "Adama Barrow",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Adama Barrow: The Gambian electoral authority's formal proclamation of the presidential election winner by December 31, 2026 resolves the named candidate's victory.",
      "close_at": "2027-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Adama Barrow, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.66,
      "implied_probability": 0.66,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4214.3706,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "adama barrow",
        "election",
        "gambia",
        "presidential"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5SZH32F5M6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QWL4XW2R90",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26-ODAR",
      "question": "Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?",
      "description": "Ousainou Darboe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ousainou Darboe: The Gambian electoral authority's formal proclamation of the presidential election winner by December 31, 2026 resolves the named candidate's victory.",
      "close_at": "2027-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Ousainou Darboe, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1246.4,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "election",
        "gambia",
        "ousainou darboe",
        "presidential"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QXZW1H6L6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QWL4XW2R90",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26-EFAA",
      "question": "Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?",
      "description": "Essa Faal",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Essa Faal: The Gambian electoral authority's formal proclamation of the presidential election winner by December 31, 2026 resolves the named candidate's victory.",
      "close_at": "2027-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Essa Faal, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.1500000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "election",
        "essa faal",
        "gambia",
        "presidential"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4DBGTMDVJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QWL4XW2R90",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTHEGAMBIAPRES-26-MKAN",
      "question": "Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?",
      "description": "Mama Kandeh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mama Kandeh: The Gambian electoral authority's formal proclamation of the presidential election winner by December 31, 2026 resolves the named candidate's victory.",
      "close_at": "2027-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Mama Kandeh, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.9500000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "election",
        "gambia",
        "mama kandeh",
        "presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QWL4XW2R90",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}