{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
  "slug": "kxtln-26auggen",
  "question": "Will Talen Energy's generation in Q2 be measured in TWh?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "talen-energy",
    "electricity-generation",
    "q2-2026",
    "twh-output",
    "energy-financials"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Talen Energy Corporation's total power generation volume reported for Q2 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of discrete strike thresholds, ranging from 8.5 TWh to 16 TWh, each a separate binary contract. The implied generation distribution can be read from where the exceedance curve steepens. Kalshi staff determination sources the figure from Talen's Q2 2026 earnings disclosure as aggregated by Fiscal.ai.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q7MR0L1549",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.9,
    "implied_probability": 0.9
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C41LB8B3S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-8.5",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 8.5 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 8.5 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 8.5 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 8.5 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 215.82,
      "volume_total_usd": 1467.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E79B26F3D0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
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        "q2-2026",
        "talen",
        "talen energy total",
        "twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQRZT0W7Z7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-9.0",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 9 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 9 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 9 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 9.0 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_type": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3601.62,
      "volume_total_usd": 4495.59,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 9,
      "question_id": "CMX-68FF61D53C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "generation",
        "q2-2026",
        "talen",
        "talen energy total",
        "twh"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3V1FLMRJ10",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-9.5",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 9.5 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 9.5 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 9.5 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 9.5 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1642.5792,
      "volume_total_usd": 2809.9392,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 9.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-B857BAB4C3",
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      "tags": [
        "energy",
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        "q2-2026",
        "talen",
        "talen energy total",
        "twh"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DXRJ6T00J6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-10.0",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 10 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 10 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 10 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 10.0 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.93,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3A6081F7E",
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      "tags": [
        "energy",
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        "talen energy total",
        "twh"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F54ZGCHY67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-10.5",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 10.5 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 10.5 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 10.5 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 10.5 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.93,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 290.1879,
      "volume_total_usd": 1940.6589000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-BEB20EC9B4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
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        "twh"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7M0QFP2M36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-11.0",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 11 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 11 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 11 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 11.0 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.93,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 31.62,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZY7YC569J2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-11.5",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 11.5 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 11.5 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 11.5 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 11.5 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "last_price": 0.95,
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      "tags": [
        "energy",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RZD7M43H58",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-12.0",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 12 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 12 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 12 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 12.0 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    },
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-12.5",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 12.5 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 12.5 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 12.5 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 12.5 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.9,
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    },
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLN-26AUGGEN-13",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 13 TWh total generation (twh) in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 13 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 13 TWh: The listed company's Q2 2026 total generation figures reported via Fiscal.ai resolve this market by December 5, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-05T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports above 13 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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