{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
  "slug": "kxtlna-27febgen",
  "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 50 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "talen-energy",
    "power-generation",
    "twh-output",
    "corporate-financials",
    "energy-sector"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Talen Energy Corporation's total power generation in terawatt-hours for fiscal year 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of 21 discrete binary strike thresholds, ranging from 46 TWh to above 65 TWh. Together they imply a market-derived probability distribution over Talen's reported output level. Kalshi staff determination uses Fiscal.ai data, resolving May 2, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MS11K9XB98",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.92,
    "implied_probability": 0.92
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GW8002W0X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-46",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 46 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 46 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 46 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 46 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 193.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 46,
      "question_id": "CMX-74C4016237",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70SG7G4GN4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-47",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 47 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 47 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 47 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 47 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.28,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 47,
      "question_id": "CMX-B21171450F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DR6T0DC9L6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-48",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 48 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 48 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 48 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 48 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 48,
      "question_id": "CMX-66DE1EAF0E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N8KZQ3TSW6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-49",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 49 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 49 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 49 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 49 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 49,
      "question_id": "CMX-080B2515F8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MS11K9XB98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-50",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 50 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 50 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 50 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 50 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2618.37,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": "CMX-ACB6D1244E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5K4YZFJ464",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-51",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 51 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 51 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 51 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 51 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 51,
      "question_id": "CMX-60FE435F99",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6G603FF9B4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-52",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 52 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 52 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 52 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 52 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 49.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 52,
      "question_id": "CMX-7130B4D0A2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4B1N5ZSSC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-53",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 53 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 53 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 53 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 53 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1963.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 53,
      "question_id": "CMX-E1AE227AA2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SNN4TD1G99",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-54",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 54 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 54 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 54 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports above 54 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 54,
      "question_id": "CMX-39665ECC59",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "talen energy twh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YF2CWZKX74",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTLNA-27FEBGEN-55",
      "question": "Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 55 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above 55 TWh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 55 TWh: Kalshi staff determination using Fiscal.ai data will resolve whether the listed company reports total generation above the specified threshold in fiscal 2026, with deadline May 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-02T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Talen Energy Corporation reports above 55 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Talen Energy Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 55,
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-09LNFQRWZ2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}