{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
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    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QBP4SWW7J8",
  "slug": "kxtnprimary-04d26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee for TN-04 be decided by November 3, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "us-politics",
    "tennessee",
    "house-races",
    "democratic-nomination",
    "2026-midterms"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary outcome for Tennessee's 4th congressional district, resolving November 3, 2026. Five candidate-specific binary contracts cover Victoria Broderick, Mike Cortese, Cliff Huffman, Tim Lanier, and Joyce E. Neal. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination against each named candidate's certified nominee status. At most one contract can settle at 100; the rest settle at zero.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DPTHXB9QG6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.94
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VM791FJJR0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QBP4SWW7J8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04D26-VBRO",
      "question": "Will Victoria Broderick be the Democratic nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Victoria Broderick",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Victoria Broderick: The named candidate's status as the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district resolves on official party nomination records or public candidate filing documentation by November 3, 2026, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Victoria Broderick wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.09,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 153.63,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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        "victoria broderick"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QBP4SWW7J8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04D26-MCOR",
      "question": "Will Mike Cortese be the Democratic nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Mike Cortese",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Cortese: The named candidate's status as the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district resolves on official party nomination records or public candidate filing documentation by November 3, 2026, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mike Cortese wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 101.52,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QBP4SWW7J8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04D26-CHUF",
      "question": "Will Cliff Huffman be the Democratic nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Cliff Huffman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cliff Huffman: The named candidate's status as the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district resolves on official party nomination records or public candidate filing documentation by November 3, 2026, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 143.77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SPQWV51TZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QBP4SWW7J8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04D26-TLAN",
      "question": "Will Tim Lanier be the Democratic nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Tim Lanier",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tim Lanier: The named candidate's status as the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district resolves on official party nomination records or public candidate filing documentation by November 3, 2026, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tim Lanier wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04D26-JNEA",
      "question": "Will Joyce E Neal be the Democratic nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Joyce E Neal",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joyce E Neal: The named candidate's status as the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district resolves on official party nomination records or public candidate filing documentation by November 3, 2026, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Joyce E Neal wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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