{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RLJBSNT1J3",
  "slug": "kxtnprimary-04r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Tennessee's 4th congressional district be determined by November 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "tennessee-politics",
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    "congressional-election-2027",
    "tn-04-district",
    "nominee-selection"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for Tennessee's 4th Congressional District. Each contract is a binary on a named candidate: Davis, DesJarlais, James, Jones, or Saxena. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the official Republican Party nominee designation. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S6LZQMPD35",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.97
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RLJBSNT1J3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04R26-TDAV",
      "question": "Will Tom Davis be the Republican nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Tom Davis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tom Davis: The Republican Party official nominee designation for the referenced House seat resolves via Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Davis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 88.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nominee",
        "republican",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S6LZQMPD35",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04R26-SDES",
      "question": "Will Scott DesJarlais be the Republican nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Scott DesJarlais",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Scott DesJarlais: The Republican Party official nominee designation for the referenced House seat resolves via Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Scott DesJarlais wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 5791.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XL6DNS2M32",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RLJBSNT1J3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04R26-JJAM",
      "question": "Will Joshua James be the Republican nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Joshua James",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joshua James: The Republican Party official nominee designation for the referenced House seat resolves via Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Joshua James wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 97.34,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-30QJF2ZHY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RLJBSNT1J3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04R26-HJON",
      "question": "Will Harold Rocky Jones be the Republican nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Harold Rocky Jones",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Harold Rocky Jones: The Republican Party official nominee designation for the referenced House seat resolves via Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Harold Rocky Jones wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "volume_total_usd": 61.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NDBG7ZGMJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RLJBSNT1J3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTNPRIMARY-04R26-RSAX",
      "question": "Will Rishi K Saxena be the Republican nominee for TN-04?",
      "description": "Rishi K Saxena",
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      "underlying_reference": "Rishi K Saxena: The Republican Party official nominee designation for the referenced House seat resolves via Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Rishi K Saxena wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RLJBSNT1J3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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