{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
  "slug": "kxtokenlaunch-27jan01",
  "question": "Will someone launch a token this year?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-tokens",
    "token-launch",
    "2026",
    "corporate-action",
    "web3-adoption"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether 14 named crypto and fintech entities launch a token by January 1, 2027. All markets share identical binary structure and resolve via Kalshi staff determination. Entities range from crypto-native wallets like MetaMask and Phantom to traditional finance infrastructure like CME Group. No cross-platform structural contrast exists here; all 14 markets are Kalshi-only binaries on the same deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4HGBJ12VM7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.47,
    "implied_probability": 0.47
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CR7PS0KJH4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-OPEN",
      "question": "Will OpenSea launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "OpenSea",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "OpenSea: Kalshi staff determination based on whether the named entity launches a token on or before 1 January 2027, verified via public blockchain explorer records.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Arbiscan",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Arbiscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Coinbase",
            "url": "https://investor.coinbase.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinDesk",
            "url": "https://www.coindesk.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": "https://coinmarketcap.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinTelegraph",
            "url": "https://bitchat.free/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Decrypt",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "DeFi Llama",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Etherscan",
            "url": "https://counterparty.io/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kraken",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
            "url": "http://www.binance.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official blockchain explorers for the relevant networks",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "OKX",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Polygonscan",
            "url": "https://polygon.technology/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "project",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Solscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Block",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 564.1116,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5064B8D7EF",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-VKRBVJZ6X2",
          "price": 0.254
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "marketplace",
        "nft",
        "opensea"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XBWVHVCB03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-META",
      "question": "Will MetaMask launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "MetaMask",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "MetaMask: Kalshi staff determination based on whether the named entity launches a token on or before 1 January 2027, verified via public blockchain explorer records.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If MetaMask launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Arbiscan",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Arbiscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Coinbase",
            "url": "https://investor.coinbase.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinDesk",
            "url": "https://www.coindesk.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": "https://coinmarketcap.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinTelegraph",
            "url": "https://bitchat.free/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Decrypt",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "DeFi Llama",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Etherscan",
            "url": "https://counterparty.io/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kraken",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
            "url": "http://www.binance.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official blockchain explorers for the relevant networks",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "OKX",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Polygonscan",
            "url": "https://polygon.technology/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "project",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Solscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Block",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 537.8231999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-00FE33BF3A",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-YT800DG244",
          "price": 0.14
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "metamask",
        "wallet"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QSRM0QFFB6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-EXPO",
      "question": "Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Exponent",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Exponent: Kalshi staff determination based on whether the named entity launches a token on or before 1 January 2027, verified via public blockchain explorer records.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Arbiscan",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Arbiscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Coinbase",
            "url": "https://investor.coinbase.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinDesk",
            "url": "https://www.coindesk.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": "https://coinmarketcap.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinTelegraph",
            "url": "https://bitchat.free/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Decrypt",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "DeFi Llama",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Etherscan",
            "url": "https://counterparty.io/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kraken",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
            "url": "http://www.binance.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official blockchain explorers for the relevant networks",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "OKX",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Polygonscan",
            "url": "https://polygon.technology/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "project",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Solscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Block",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1085.1392,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B8681B67DA",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-0C87Y2GKS2",
          "price": 0.22
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "defi",
        "exponent"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R3883CHZF4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-BASE",
      "question": "Will Base launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Base",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Base: Kalshi staff determination based on whether the named entity launches a token on or before 1 January 2027, verified via public blockchain explorer records.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Base launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Arbiscan",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Arbiscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "name": "CoinTelegraph",
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          {
            "name": "Decrypt",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "DeFi Llama",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Etherscan",
            "url": "https://counterparty.io/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Kraken",
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            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.14,
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        {
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          {
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          },
          {
            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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            "name": "CoinTelegraph",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "Etherscan",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Kraken",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        {
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    {
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      "question": "Will Tempo launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Tempo launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
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          {
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            "url": "https://bitchat.free/",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "DeFi Llama",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Etherscan",
            "url": "https://counterparty.io/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Kraken",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
            "url": "http://www.binance.com/",
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          {
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Polygonscan",
            "url": "https://polygon.technology/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "project",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Solscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
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      "question_id": "CMX-54E30249C3",
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          "price": 0.07
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2JM2G7ZCW8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-PHAN",
      "question": "Will Phantom launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Phantom: Kalshi staff determination based on whether the named entity launches a token on or before 1 January 2027, verified via public blockchain explorer records.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T18:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Phantom launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
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            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
            "url": "http://www.binance.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 104.6964,
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A6BF9497B0",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-VCZNK84ZL4",
          "price": 0.06
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "phantom",
        "solana",
        "wallet"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6TPLBQ5KL2",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-FELI",
      "question": "Will Felix launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Felix",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Felix launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Arbiscan",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Arbiscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Coinbase",
            "url": "https://investor.coinbase.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinDesk",
            "url": "https://www.coindesk.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": "https://coinmarketcap.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinTelegraph",
            "url": "https://bitchat.free/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Decrypt",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "DeFi Llama",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Etherscan",
            "url": "https://counterparty.io/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kraken",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
            "url": "http://www.binance.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official blockchain explorers for the relevant networks",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "OKX",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Polygonscan",
            "url": "https://polygon.technology/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "project",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Solscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Block",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BD61317C92",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "felix"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XNY25TH857",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-ABST",
      "question": "Will Abstract launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Abstract",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-12-31T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Abstract launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "Arbiscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Coinbase",
            "url": "https://investor.coinbase.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinDesk",
            "url": "https://www.coindesk.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinGecko",
            "url": "https://www.coingecko.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinMarketCap",
            "url": "https://coinmarketcap.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinTelegraph",
            "url": "https://bitchat.free/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Decrypt",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "DeFi Llama",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Etherscan",
            "url": "https://counterparty.io/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kraken",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
            "url": "http://www.binance.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official blockchain explorers for the relevant networks",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "OKX",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Polygonscan",
            "url": "https://polygon.technology/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "project",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Solscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "The Block",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 36,
      "volume_total_usd": 723.4055999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3E5461019B",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-MDPBR5WLV1",
          "price": 0.15
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "abstract",
        "blockchain"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5F0BRSGS69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-RABB",
      "question": "Will Rabby launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Rabby",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rabby: Kalshi staff determination based on whether the named entity launches a token on or before 1 January 2027, verified via public blockchain explorer records.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rabby launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Arbiscan",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Arbiscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Coinbase",
            "url": "https://investor.coinbase.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CoinDesk",
            "url": "https://www.coindesk.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CoinGecko",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://bitchat.free/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Decrypt",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "DeFi Llama",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Etherscan",
            "url": "https://counterparty.io/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Kraken",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major cryptocurrency exchanges including Binance",
            "url": "http://www.binance.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official blockchain explorers for the relevant networks",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
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            "name": "Polygonscan",
            "url": "https://polygon.technology/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "project",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Solscan",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "The Block",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.13,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 365.34420000000006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E1851BE18A",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-RQZVB2WCT6",
          "price": 0.09
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "rabby",
        "wallet"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5DBTZ6H1N4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K7DR5FCFM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-UNIT",
      "question": "Will Unit launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Unit",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Unit: Kalshi staff determination based on whether the named entity launches a token on or before 1 January 2027, verified via public blockchain explorer records.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T18:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Unit launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Arbiscan",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "Base Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Binance Chain Explorer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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            "name": "Coinbase",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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}