{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
  "slug": "kxtop3wealth-26dec31",
  "question": "Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world by 2027?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "wealth-ranking",
    "billionaire-lists",
    "net-worth-comparison",
    "global-economics",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which named individuals will rank in the top three on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027. Each contract is a separate binary on one candidate, allowing traders to price overlapping inclusion probabilities across nine names for three available slots. All nine markets share the same structural format: individual inclusion, not composite ranking order. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract using the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list, the authoritative source for net worth rankings at settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-W05NQ6ZRW0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.95,
    "implied_probability": 0.95
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LD3XYPK1S3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-ELON",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Elon Musk",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Elon Musk: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Forbes",
            "url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5840.520799999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-039CC114DE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "billionaire",
        "elon musk",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
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          "bucket": null,
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CL5B9B0NL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-JEFF",
      "question": "Will Jeff Bezos be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Jeff Bezos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jeff Bezos: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jeff Bezos is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Forbes",
            "url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes",
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        "source_type": null,
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 904.5647,
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      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-EBF2C5668C",
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      "tags": [
        "billionaire",
        "jeff bezos",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DXRQT35200",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-MARK",
      "question": "Will Mark Zuckerberg be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Mark Zuckerberg",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Zuckerberg: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Zuckerberg is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Forbes",
            "url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-013FDB849B",
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      "tags": [
        "billionaire",
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        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9GXVKSHYB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-JENS",
      "question": "Will Jensen Huang be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Jensen Huang",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jensen Huang: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jensen Huang is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 140.1987,
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0242A793D2",
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      "tags": [
        "billionaire",
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        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S5N7TL6881",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-LARR",
      "question": "Will Larry Ellison be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Larry Ellison",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Larry Ellison: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T04:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Larry Ellison is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 164.1928,
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-328C2B810A",
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      "tags": [
        "billionaire",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4QJC63V8F9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-WARR",
      "question": "Will Warren Buffett be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Warren Buffett",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Warren Buffett: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Warren Buffett is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question_id": "CMX-313C8F6885",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W05NQ6ZRW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-LARRP",
      "question": "Will Larry Page be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Larry Page",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Larry Page: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Larry Page is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.95,
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      "question_id": "CMX-B03CE2272E",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TFR2BZQPR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-SERG",
      "question": "Will Sergey Brin be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Sergey Brin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Sergey Brin: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Sergey Brin is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question_id": "CMX-3E0C201B48",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HP10HRD2F2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTOP3WEALTH-26DEC31-STEV",
      "question": "Will Steve Ballmer be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?",
      "description": "Steve Ballmer",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Steve Ballmer: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 2, 2027 determines whether the named individual ranks among the world's three wealthiest people, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Ballmer is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
        "sources": [
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}