{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y00QJ49L42",
  "slug": "kxtopai-27",
  "question": "Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai-model-rankings",
    "tech-companies",
    "artificial-intelligence",
    "2027",
    "competitive-benchmarks"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These 13 Kalshi markets ask whether each named company holds a top-ranked model on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard as of January 2, 2027. The markets are structurally parallel binary contracts, each isolating a single developer across a competitive field spanning US, Chinese, and European labs. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination against a fixed leaderboard snapshot. The LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard, maintained by UC Berkeley researchers, is the authoritative ranking source cited for settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-W6VT78JHM9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.36
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
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      "platform_market_id": "KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-META",
      "question": "Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Meta: LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard rankings as of January 2, 2027, 15:00 UTC determine if the named company holds a top-ranked model position.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LMSYS",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard",
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      "question": "Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Nvidia: LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard rankings as of January 2, 2027, 15:00 UTC determine if the named company holds a top-ranked model position.",
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      "question": "Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-MIST",
      "question": "Will Mistral have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?",
      "description": "Mistral",
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      "underlying_reference": "Mistral: LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard rankings as of January 2, 2027, 15:00 UTC determine if the named company holds a top-ranked model position.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-DEPP",
      "question": "Will Deepseek have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?",
      "description": "Deepseek",
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      "underlying_reference": "Deepseek: LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard rankings as of January 2, 2027, 15:00 UTC determine if the named company holds a top-ranked model position.",
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      "question": "Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?",
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