{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFPCK8C4V4",
  "slug": "kxtorontomayor-26oct26",
  "question": "Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "toronto-politics",
    "canadian-elections",
    "municipal-government",
    "2026-mayoral-race",
    "political-outcomes"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Toronto mayoral election. Each Kalshi contract isolates a named candidate: Olivia Chow, John Tory, Brad Bradford, and Anthony Furey. All four resolve via Kalshi staff determination against Toronto's municipal electoral authority official proclamation. Resolution is expected by October 26, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QZX18Y3WZ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.8,
    "implied_probability": 0.8
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QZX18Y3WZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFPCK8C4V4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTORONTOMAYOR-26OCT26-OCHO",
      "question": "Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "Olivia Chow",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Olivia Chow: Toronto's municipal electoral authority official proclamation of the named candidate's election outcome by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Olivia Chow wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.  \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6469.576000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mayor",
        "olivia chow",
        "toronto"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DXKJT3FJY9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFPCK8C4V4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTORONTOMAYOR-26OCT26-JTOR",
      "question": "Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "John Tory",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Tory: Toronto's municipal electoral authority official proclamation of the named candidate's election outcome by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Tory wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.  \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.039,
      "implied_probability": 0.039,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 124.215,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V0T9BSS2N0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFPCK8C4V4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTORONTOMAYOR-26OCT26-BBRA",
      "question": "Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
      "description": "Brad Bradford",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brad Bradford: Toronto's municipal electoral authority official proclamation of the named candidate's election outcome by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brad Bradford wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.  \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 553.9146000000001,
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      "tags": [
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        "toronto"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M3NZ6G72M0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFPCK8C4V4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTORONTOMAYOR-26OCT26-AFUR",
      "question": "Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anthony Furey wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.  \n\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline.  If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration.",
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      "tags": [
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