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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KMHJ1FX1V6",
  "slug": "kxtradedealcuba-27",
  "question": "Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
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  "tags": [
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    "trump-trade-policy",
    "us-cuba-relations",
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    "announcement-event"
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  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether the Trump administration will announce a formal trade deal with Cuba. Both markets are on Kalshi and differ only by deadline: August 1, 2026 versus January 1, 2027. The structural difference is temporal horizon, not direction or rate level. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination based on MSNBC reporting.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4GH9DHT8J8",
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPreliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.\nCuba must also acknowledge the agreement.\nA mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or \"explore a trade deal\" is not sufficient.\nIf the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.",
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