{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
  "slug": "kxtraveldowngrade-27jan01",
  "question": "Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-foreign-policy",
    "travel-advisory",
    "geopolitical-risk",
    "state-department",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the U.S. State Department downgrades its Level 4 travel advisory to Level 3 or lower for 18 currently high-risk countries. All markets share identical structure: a binary yes/no on advisory level as of January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination against the State Department's published advisory record. Syria and Lebanon present the most analytically active cases given recent geopolitical shifts, though all markets resolve on the same date and mechanism.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4LG4S0RYB6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.068,
    "implied_probability": 0.068
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N1ZBQSC2H5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-AFG",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?",
      "description": "Afghanistan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Afghanistan: U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Afghanistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.058,
      "implied_probability": 0.058,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 98.65858,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "afghanistan",
        "country",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S94GT1GB34",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-MYA",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?",
      "description": "Burma (Myanmar)",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Burma (Myanmar): U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Burma (Myanmar) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.022,
      "implied_probability": 0.022,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.8103999999999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "burma myanmar",
        "country",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-58S5DK0WW5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-GAZ",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?",
      "description": "Gaza",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gaza: U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Gaza after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.041,
      "implied_probability": 0.041,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.14868,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gaza",
        "territory",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5JXCNBJZZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-HAI",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?",
      "description": "Haiti",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Haiti: U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Haiti after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.066,
      "implied_probability": 0.066,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 115.32378,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "haiti",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4LG4S0RYB6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRA",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?",
      "description": "Iran",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Iran: U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.068,
      "implied_probability": 0.068,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2206.3926,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "iran",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8P5N7SZT33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LEB",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?",
      "description": "Lebanon",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lebanon: U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Lebanon after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1155.7104,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "lebanon",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NWXCCC45Y6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-LIB",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?",
      "description": "Libya",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Libya: U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Libya after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.051,
      "implied_probability": 0.051,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 14.0148,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "libya",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DS5KJRL375",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-NKOR",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?",
      "description": "North Korea",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "North Korea: U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for North Korea after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.034,
      "implied_probability": 0.034,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.037880000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "north korea",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-RUS",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SOM",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-SYR",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UKR",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-YEM",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-IRQ",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQRW98WX43",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-UGA",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 191.7405,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-35H1NYRZ28",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRAVELDOWNGRADE-27JAN01-DRC",
      "question": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?",
      "description": "Democratic Republic of the Congo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic Republic of the Congo: U.S. State Department travel advisory for the named country on January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. ET, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Democratic Republic of the Congo after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAdvisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered \"issued\" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the U",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "the U",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the U.S. State Department",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "the U.S. State Department",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 125.4736,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "democratic republic congo",
        "travel advisory"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-997XR8ZYY2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}