{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
  "slug": "kxtrumpcountries-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Trump visit any countries in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-international-travel",
    "us-foreign-relations",
    "political-visits",
    "2027-resolution",
    "state-visits"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Trump makes an official visit to each listed country before January 1, 2027. Each Kalshi contract is independent, pricing a binary yes/no outcome per destination. Markets span geopolitically distinct destinations, from Saudi Arabia and Israel to North Korea and Taiwan. Kalshi staff determination, sourced from news reporting including The Guardian, governs resolution for all contracts.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XZKBWZX3H8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z5VTY8N9T7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-ISR",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Israel",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Israel: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.6400000000000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 7005.656000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "israel",
        "trump",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D2Q9LSVP26",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-SA",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Saudi Arabia",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Saudi Arabia: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Saudi Arabia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.7266,
      "volume_total_usd": 2849.7997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "saudi arabia",
        "trump",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VK2T10DCV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CAN",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Canada before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Canada",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Canada: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Canada after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.052,
      "implied_probability": 0.052,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.052,
      "volume_total_usd": 583.1565999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "canada",
        "donald trump visit",
        "trump",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M041T7QS02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-ITA",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Italy before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Italy",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Italy: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Italy after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 957.3974999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "italy",
        "trump",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BVB8NMJK28",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-VAT",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Vatican City before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Vatican City",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Vatican City: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Vatican City after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "name": "Fox News",
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          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
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          {
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.071,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 21.06357,
      "volume_total_usd": 347.02457,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "trump",
        "vatican",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XJMFJ801M0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-FRA",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit France before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "France",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "France: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-15T16:01:23Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of France after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 53367.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "france",
        "trump",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C5BF0R9CN2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-UKR",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Ukraine",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ukraine: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Ukraine after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.048,
      "implied_probability": 0.048,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.25104000000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 655.10736,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "trump",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-13RW69R1S7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-RUS",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Russia before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Russia",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Russia: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Russia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.062,
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      "volume_total_usd": 965.25816,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZST7H1XSZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-QAT",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Qatar before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Qatar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Qatar: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Qatar after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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          },
          {
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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        "qatar",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZDXFHS7YF1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-GER",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Germany",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Germany: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Germany after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
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      "last_price": 0.24,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8WZSFQWXX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-HUN",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Hungary before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Hungary",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Hungary after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.092,
      "implied_probability": 0.092,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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        "hungary",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YN7Z1JJ5M3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-NK",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "North Korea",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "North Korea: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of North Korea after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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      "last_price": 0.085,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BSPCB94032",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-TAI",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Taiwan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Taiwan: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T00:00:52.950Z",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-VEN",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Venezuela",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Venezuela: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.9567,
      "volume_total_usd": 3281.2846,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "trump",
        "venezuela",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FP2WB1DLP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-IND",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit India before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "India",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "India: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of India after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.6998,
      "volume_total_usd": 1397.6919,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "india",
        "trump",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VDN07XH996",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-MEX",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Mexico",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mexico: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Mexico after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.1750000000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 1259.499,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "mexico",
        "trump",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9L4G5M4C93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-POL",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Poland",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Poland: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Poland after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 746.0927999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "poland",
        "trump",
        "visit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MVCW3XTLQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-DEN",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Denmark (incl. Greenland) before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Denmark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Denmark: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Denmark (incl. Greenland) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "denmark",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MG60PM85C3",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-PAL",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Palestine (West Bank and Gaza Strip) before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Palestine: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Palestine (West Bank and Gaza Strip) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
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        "palestine",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3P8F60X4G7",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CUB",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Cuba after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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          {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.071,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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        "donald trump visit",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-TUR",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Turkey before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Turkey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Turkey: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-07T16:28:32Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Turkey after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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          {
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L81T84MFK3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-JAP",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Japan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Japan: Kalshi staff determination based on news reporting, including The Guardian, confirms whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Japan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-PAKI",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Pakistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
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          },
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          },
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          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "China: Kalshi staff determination based on reporting by The Guardian will resolve whether the named political figure visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-13T14:42:43Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        ],
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      "volume_total_usd": 183449.96,
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      "resolved_at": "2026-06-15T16:31:23.392126Z",
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}