{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
  "slug": "kxtrumpendorsements-26jun06",
  "question": "Will Trump endorse more than X people on Truth Social between May 31 and June 6?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-endorsements",
    "truth-social",
    "2026-politics",
    "weekly-prediction",
    "social-media-activity"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Trump's endorsement posts on Truth Social during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as seven ascending strike thresholds: at least 3, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 50 endorsements. The spread between struck and unstrruck thresholds implies a cumulative probability distribution over endorsement volume. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination of qualifying posts during the covered period.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-C0WZ0T69C9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B7655FZVK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN06-A3",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of Trump endorsement posts on Truth Social during the week ending June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T02:51:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T02:51:19Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 3 people for their election on Truth Social from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5577.35,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsement",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZNS3YVL6Z6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN06-A5",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 5",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of Trump endorsement posts on Truth Social during the week ending June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T02:52:06Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T02:52:06Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 5 people for their election on Truth Social from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2988.13,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsement",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3HS7YKJ1P3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN06-A10",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of Trump endorsement posts on Truth Social during the week ending June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T02:52:37Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T02:52:37Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 10 people for their election on Truth Social from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4174.83,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsement",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KCYZ1221H8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN06-A15",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 15",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of Trump endorsement posts on Truth Social during the week ending June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T02:53:15Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T02:53:15Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 15 people for their election on Truth Social from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3031.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsement",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8J8TH2CJD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN06-A20",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of Trump endorsement posts on Truth Social during the week ending June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T02:53:44Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T02:53:44Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 20 people for their election on Truth Social from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 481.55,
      "volume_total_usd": 2642.02,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsement",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C0WZ0T69C9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN06-A25",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 25 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 25",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of Trump endorsement posts on Truth Social during the week ending June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-03T02:54:38Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-03T02:54:38Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 25 people for their election on Truth Social from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 4020.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 8847.73,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
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            "under_min_maturity"
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        }
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN06-A50",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 50 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of Trump endorsement posts on Truth Social during the week ending June 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 50 people for their election on Truth Social from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 58,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 83.26,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
      ],
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "resolved_at": "2026-06-07T14:00:00Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C0WZ0T69C9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T02:54:38Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZNS3YVL6Z6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T02:52:06Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B7655FZVK9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-03T02:51:19Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
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}