{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0TBWM8KPK4",
  "slug": "kxtrumpendorsements-26jun13",
  "question": "How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social during the week of June 7-13?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-endorsements",
    "truth-social",
    "weekly-prediction",
    "political-activity",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the count of Trump's individual endorsements posted on Truth Social during the week of June 7 through June 13, 2026. All seven markets are Kalshi binary contracts structured as ascending strike thresholds: 3, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 50 endorsements. Together they form an implied distribution over weekly endorsement volume. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination based on observable Truth Social post activity.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YR8Z0HKDT9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-55Z8DD62Z0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0TBWM8KPK4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN13-A3",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 3: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:44:39Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:44:39Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 3 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 802.89,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsements",
        "political",
        "trump",
        "trump endorsements truth",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0D8C70VSZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0TBWM8KPK4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN13-A5",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 5",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 5: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:45:42Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:45:42Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 5 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 809.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsements",
        "political",
        "trump",
        "trump endorsements truth",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GP32LMWR96",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0TBWM8KPK4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN13-A10",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 10: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:46:42Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:46:42Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 10 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1239.63,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsements",
        "political",
        "trump",
        "trump endorsements truth",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M6SJBZY396",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0TBWM8KPK4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN13-A15",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 15",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 15: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T00:47:13Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T00:47:13Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 15 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1243.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsements",
        "political",
        "trump",
        "trump endorsements truth",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YR8Z0HKDT9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0TBWM8KPK4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN13-A20",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 20: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 20 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 648,
      "volume_total_usd": 1934.55,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsements",
        "political",
        "trump",
        "trump endorsements truth",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RSS040NVR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0TBWM8KPK4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN13-A25",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 25 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 25",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 25: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 25 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.17,
      "volume_total_usd": 196.71,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsements",
        "political",
        "trump",
        "trump endorsements truth",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VN1KM6B2R4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0TBWM8KPK4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN13-A50",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse at least 50 people on Truth Social this week?",
      "description": "At least 50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 50: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump endorses at least 50 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAny formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.\n\nExamples:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse [candidate] for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support [candidate]\" referencing a political race\nDonald Trump states \"Vote for [candidate]\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"[candidate] has my full support\" for [race]\n\nExamples that would NOT count:\nTrump posts a graphic that says \"[Candidate] wins\" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 66.3,
      "volume_total_usd": 323.48,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsements",
        "political",
        "trump",
        "trump endorsements truth",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YR8Z0HKDT9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-14T14:45:23.379344Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RSS040NVR4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-14T14:45:23.379344Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VN1KM6B2R4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-14T14:45:23.379344Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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