{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DX59H05MT8",
  "slug": "kxtrumpendorsesc-26aug11",
  "question": "Will Trump endorse a candidate in the South Carolina Senate race by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-endorsement",
    "2026-senate",
    "south-carolina-politics",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "republican-primary"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Donald Trump will endorse a specific candidate in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before August 2026. Kalshi structures the event as five parallel binary contracts, one per candidate plus a no-endorsement leg. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination of whether a qualifying public endorsement was made. The no-endorsement contract creates an implicit exhaustive set, allowing traders to price the full probability distribution across candidates.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7MSR9ZK3Y1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.92,
    "implied_probability": 0.92
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7MSR9ZK3Y1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DX59H05MT8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSESC-26AUG11-DNOR",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump endorse Darline Graham Nordone in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026?",
      "description": "Darline Graham",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Darline Graham: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate received an endorsement from the referenced person via official social media accounts by August 11, 2026, 2 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump publicly endorses Darline Graham Nordone in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"endorsement\" requires:\nA clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election\nThe statement must be public (not private communications)\nThe endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 South Carolina Senate race or be clearly in context of the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nThe endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels\n\nThe following scenarios would resolve to YES:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse candidate for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support candidate\" with clear reference to the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump states \"I'm voting for candidate\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"candidate has my full support\" for the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse\nDonald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization\nDonald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials\n\nStatements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.\n\nThe Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\" If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. \n\nIf no endorsement occurs before expiration, the \"No one\" strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, or loses the primary or general election for the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official campaign announcements from <candidate>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico EU",
            "url": "https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/#starmer-approval",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official statements from organizations where <person> holds a leadership position",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 387.044,
      "volume_total_usd": 23213.1732,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "darline graham nordone",
        "endorsement",
        "senate 2026",
        "south carolina",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7PF6YQM3K7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DX59H05MT8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSESC-26AUG11-RFRY",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump endorse Russell Fry in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026?",
      "description": "Russell Fry",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Russell Fry: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate received an endorsement from the referenced person via official social media accounts by August 11, 2026, 2 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump publicly endorses Russell Fry in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"endorsement\" requires:\nA clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election\nThe statement must be public (not private communications)\nThe endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 South Carolina Senate race or be clearly in context of the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nThe endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels\n\nThe following scenarios would resolve to YES:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse candidate for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support candidate\" with clear reference to the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump states \"I'm voting for candidate\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"candidate has my full support\" for the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse\nDonald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization\nDonald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials\n\nStatements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.\n\nThe Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\" If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. \n\nIf no endorsement occurs before expiration, the \"No one\" strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, or loses the primary or general election for the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official campaign announcements from <candidate>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico EU",
            "url": "https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/#starmer-approval",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official statements from organizations where <person> holds a leadership position",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.35000000000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 541.2428000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsement",
        "russell fry",
        "senate 2026",
        "south carolina",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T0XMZGYL36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DX59H05MT8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSESC-26AUG11-RNOR",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump endorse Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026?",
      "description": "Ralph Norman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ralph Norman: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate received an endorsement from the referenced person via official social media accounts by August 11, 2026, 2 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump publicly endorses Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"endorsement\" requires:\nA clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election\nThe statement must be public (not private communications)\nThe endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 South Carolina Senate race or be clearly in context of the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nThe endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels\n\nThe following scenarios would resolve to YES:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse candidate for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support candidate\" with clear reference to the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump states \"I'm voting for candidate\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"candidate has my full support\" for the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse\nDonald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization\nDonald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials\n\nStatements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.\n\nThe Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\" If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. \n\nIf no endorsement occurs before expiration, the \"No one\" strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, or loses the primary or general election for the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official campaign announcements from <candidate>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico EU",
            "url": "https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/#starmer-approval",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official statements from organizations where <person> holds a leadership position",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 35.3056,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsement",
        "ralph norman",
        "senate 2026",
        "south carolina",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P2G7LZMD36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DX59H05MT8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSESC-26AUG11-MLYN",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump endorse Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026?",
      "description": "Mark Lynch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Lynch: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate received an endorsement from the referenced person via official social media accounts by August 11, 2026, 2 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump publicly endorses Mark Lynch in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"endorsement\" requires:\nA clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election\nThe statement must be public (not private communications)\nThe endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 South Carolina Senate race or be clearly in context of the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nThe endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels\n\nThe following scenarios would resolve to YES:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse candidate for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support candidate\" with clear reference to the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump states \"I'm voting for candidate\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"candidate has my full support\" for the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse\nDonald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization\nDonald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials\n\nStatements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.\n\nThe Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\" If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. \n\nIf no endorsement occurs before expiration, the \"No one\" strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, or loses the primary or general election for the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official campaign announcements from <candidate>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico EU",
            "url": "https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/#starmer-approval",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
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      "rcg": {
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      "tags": [
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        "mark lynch",
        "senate 2026",
        "south carolina",
        "trump"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D9B4MXW7P7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DX59H05MT8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPENDORSESC-26AUG11-NOONE",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump endorse No one in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026?",
      "description": "No one",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "No one: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate received an endorsement from the referenced person via official social media accounts by August 11, 2026, 2 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump publicly endorses no one in the 2026 South Carolina Senate race before Aug 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"endorsement\" requires:\nA clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election\nThe statement must be public (not private communications)\nThe endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 South Carolina Senate race or be clearly in context of the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nThe endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels\n\nThe following scenarios would resolve to YES:\nDonald Trump states \"I endorse candidate for [office]\"\nDonald Trump states \"I support candidate\" with clear reference to the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump states \"I'm voting for candidate\" publicly\nDonald Trump states \"candidate has my full support\" for the 2026 South Carolina Senate race\nDonald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse\nDonald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization\nDonald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials\n\nStatements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.\n\nThe Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\" If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves \"Yes\" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. \n\nIf no endorsement occurs before expiration, the \"No one\" strike resolves \"Yes\" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf a candidate withdraws from, suspends their campaign for, ceases to be a candidate in, or loses the primary or general election for the specified race before a qualifying endorsement is confirmed, their strike may resolve to No in the sole discretion of the Exchange.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official social media accounts controlled by <person>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "official campaign announcements from <candidate>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "Politico EU",
            "url": "https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/#starmer-approval",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official statements from organizations where <person> holds a leadership position",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 58,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
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      "volume_total_usd": 244.464,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "endorsement",
        "no endorsement",
        "senate 2026",
        "south carolina",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DX59H05MT8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}