{
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    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-V9QGT2SSP7",
  "slug": "kxtrumpiran",
  "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Iran?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "trump-iran",
    "diplomatic-visit",
    "geopolitical-relations",
    "us-foreign-policy",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Donald Trump will make an official visit to Iran across three sequential deadlines: June 1, August 1, and January 1, 2027. Each later deadline is a superset of the prior one; a visit before June 1 resolves all three affirmatively. All three resolve via Kalshi staff determination, informed by Guardian reporting. Resolution hinges on what constitutes a qualifying \"visit,\" which Kalshi staff will interpret at settlement.",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jun 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before Jan 1, 2027",
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      "underlying_reference": "Before Jan 1, 2027: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting in The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced country before January 1, 2027, by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal boundaries apply. For states/provinces, official boundaries apply. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply. International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction. Evidence must be reported by at least one Source Agency and may include official announcements, news reports with specific location details, verified photographs/videos at identifiable locations, flight records showing arrival, completed official schedules, or social media posts from official accounts. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. For multiple locations with OR logic, visiting any single location satisfies the criterion. For AND logic, all locations must be visited.",
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