{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SYCFQGTSG6",
  "slug": "kxtrumpnomnum-26jul19",
  "question": "How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate during the week of July 19-25?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-nominations",
    "presidential-appointments",
    "senate-confirmations",
    "weekly-metric",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the count of presidential nominations sent to the Senate during the week of July 19-25, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as four discrete threshold strikes: at least 2, 3, 5, and 9 nominations. Together they form an implied probability distribution over nomination volume. The White House presidential actions archive is the authoritative source; Kalshi staff determination governs resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-85MD51J039",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G1Y7FDPGM0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SYCFQGTSG6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPNOMNUM-26JUL19-T2",
      "question": "Will there be at least 2 presidential nominations sent to the Senate in the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "At least 2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 2: The White House presidential actions archive determines whether the specified threshold of nominations sent to the Senate is met during the referenced week, resolved by Kalshi staff on October 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has sent at least 2 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the \"Presidential Actions\" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. The week runs from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026. If a person receives multiple qualifying nominations within the period, they will each count separately. For example, Trump's March 4 nomination of Kevin Warsh is considered two nominations.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "whitehouse.gov",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2340.5184,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nominations",
        "presidential",
        "senate",
        "trump",
        "trump presidential nominations"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R68NPNQ8Z8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SYCFQGTSG6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPNOMNUM-26JUL19-T3",
      "question": "Will there be at least 3 presidential nominations sent to the Senate in the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "At least 3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 3: The White House presidential actions archive determines whether the specified threshold of nominations sent to the Senate is met during the referenced week, resolved by Kalshi staff on October 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has sent at least 3 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the \"Presidential Actions\" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. The week runs from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026. If a person receives multiple qualifying nominations within the period, they will each count separately. For example, Trump's March 4 nomination of Kevin Warsh is considered two nominations.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "the White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2577.6333,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nominations",
        "presidential",
        "senate",
        "trump",
        "trump presidential nominations"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-85MD51J039",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SYCFQGTSG6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPNOMNUM-26JUL19-T5",
      "question": "Will there be at least 5 presidential nominations sent to the Senate in the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "At least 5",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 5: The White House presidential actions archive determines whether the specified threshold of nominations sent to the Senate is met during the referenced week, resolved by Kalshi staff on October 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has sent at least 5 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the \"Presidential Actions\" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. The week runs from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026. If a person receives multiple qualifying nominations within the period, they will each count separately. For example, Trump's March 4 nomination of Kevin Warsh is considered two nominations.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.8513000000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 3183.2360999999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nominations",
        "presidential",
        "senate",
        "trump",
        "trump presidential nominations"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5NJZ2JQZD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SYCFQGTSG6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPNOMNUM-26JUL19-T9",
      "question": "Will there be at least 9 presidential nominations sent to the Senate in the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "At least 9",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 9: The White House presidential actions archive determines whether the specified threshold of nominations sent to the Senate is met during the referenced week, resolved by Kalshi staff on October 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has sent at least 9 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the \"Presidential Actions\" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. The week runs from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026. If a person receives multiple qualifying nominations within the period, they will each count separately. For example, Trump's March 4 nomination of Kevin Warsh is considered two nominations.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
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        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 4.3624,
      "volume_total_usd": 24.7144,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 9,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nominations",
        "presidential",
        "senate",
        "trump",
        "trump presidential nominations"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SYCFQGTSG6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}