{ "_notice": { "type": "free_key_offer", "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.", "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/", "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change." }, "event_id": "CM-EVT-8LZGL33RL5", "slug": "kxtrumppardon-27jan01", "question": "Will Trump pardon anyone in 2026?", "category": "politics", "event_type": "BINARY", "ladder_distribution": null, "tags": [ "politics", "trump-pardons", "presidential-authority", "2026-politics", "criminal-justice", "executive-power" ], "catalyst_types": [], "catalyst_dates": [], "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether named individuals receive a presidential pardon before January 1, 2027. Kalshi lists 34 person-specific binary contracts, each resolved by Kalshi staff determination using White House official announcements. The markets are structurally independent but collectively proxy the breadth of Trump's 2026 clemency activity. Resolution source is consistent across all contracts: formal White House announcements constitute the authoritative record.", "venues_covered": [ "kalshi" ], "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KS8019S2N5", "current_primary_mark": { "last_price": 0.098, "implied_probability": 0.098, "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z" }, "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00", "markets": [ { "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQCKGKWHV4", "event_id": "CM-EVT-8LZGL33RL5", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT", "question": "Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "Donald Trump", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump: White House official announcements resolve whether the named individual receives a presidential pardon by January 1, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "White House", "source_status": "platform_named", "source_citation": "https://whitehouse.gov/", "sources": [ { "name": "White House", "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/", "provenance": "platform_api" }, { "name": "New York Times", "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": "White House", "source_mechanism": "single_authority", "source_type": null, "source_quality": "authoritative", "source_commitment": "named", "source_commitment_subtype": "named", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "A", "score": 90, "caps": [], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.059, "implied_probability": 0.059, "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z", "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 805.49455, "settlement_style": "touch", "direction": null, "threshold": null, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "donald trump", "person", "politics" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "not_eligible", "reasons": [ "category_not_permitted" ], "permitted_category": null, "screened_at": "2026-08-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-2Y2HWMGK72", "event_id": "CM-EVT-8LZGL33RL5", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD", "question": "Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?", "description": "Keonne Rodriguez", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Keonne Rodriguez: White House official announcements resolve whether the named individual receives a presidential pardon by January 1, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.", "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z", 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