{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-V9X0KCKYZ7",
  "slug": "kxtrumppassport-26",
  "question": "Will a Trump passport be issued?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-passport",
    "us-state-department",
    "political-merchandise",
    "2026",
    "identity-document"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the U.S. Department of State issues one or more \"Trump passports\" by discrete deadlines spanning July 4 through January 1, 2027. Each Kalshi contract isolates a different issuance deadline, creating a term structure of probability across the timeline. The markets are all single-platform, so the cross-platform insight is the deadline ladder itself: earlier strikes price urgency, later strikes price cumulative likelihood. Kalshi staff determination relies on Washington Post reporting published before August 1, 2026, creating a reporting cutoff that may leave the September and January contracts unresolvable if coverage lapses.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G4RJD3P665",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.75,
    "implied_probability": 0.75
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XWRHGNLKF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-V9X0KCKYZ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPPASSPORT-26-JUL04",
      "question": "Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Jul 4, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jul 4, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jul 4, 2026: The Washington Post's reporting before August 1, 2026 determines whether the named government agency issued one or more passports containing the referenced visual representation, resolving August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-04T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-11T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face  after May 04 02:00 PM ET and before Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "South China Morning Post",
            "url": "https://www.scmp.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Verge",
            "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC News Australia",
            "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBC",
            "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "United States Department of State",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.24,
      "volume_total_usd": 2342.77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "passport with trump",
        "portrait",
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        "us-state-department"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CPVPBHNC38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-V9X0KCKYZ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPPASSPORT-26-JUL20",
      "question": "Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Jul 20, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jul 20, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jul 20, 2026: The Washington Post's reporting before August 1, 2026 determines whether the named government agency issued one or more passports containing the referenced visual representation, resolving August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-20T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face  after May 04 02:00 PM ET and before Jul 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "South China Morning Post",
            "url": "https://www.scmp.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Verge",
            "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "ABC News Australia",
            "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBC",
            "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "United States Department of State",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.68,
      "implied_probability": 0.68,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 643.1,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "passport",
        "passport with trump",
        "portrait",
        "trump",
        "us-state-department"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G4RJD3P665",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-V9X0KCKYZ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPPASSPORT-26-AUG01",
      "question": "Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 1, 2026: The Washington Post's reporting before August 1, 2026 determines whether the named government agency issued one or more passports containing the referenced visual representation, resolving August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face  after May 04 02:00 PM ET and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "South China Morning Post",
            "url": "https://www.scmp.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Verge",
            "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
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            "name": "CNN",
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            "name": "ABC News Australia",
            "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
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            "name": "The Information",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "CBC",
            "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "United States Department of State",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.75,
      "implied_probability": 0.75,
      "volume_24h_usd": 225,
      "volume_total_usd": 7154.21,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "passport",
        "passport with trump",
        "portrait",
        "trump",
        "us-state-department"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PG0Y5J7LT5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-V9X0KCKYZ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPPASSPORT-26-SEP01",
      "question": "Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Sep 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Sep 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Sep 1, 2026: The Washington Post's reporting before August 1, 2026 determines whether the named government agency issued one or more passports containing the referenced visual representation, resolving August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face  after May 04 02:00 PM ET and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "South China Morning Post",
            "url": "https://www.scmp.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Verge",
            "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC News Australia",
            "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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      "question": "Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before Jan 1, 2027",
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