{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
  "slug": "kxtrumpstates-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-travel",
    "us-politics",
    "state-visits",
    "2027",
    "campaign-activity"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Trump makes at least one visit to each named state before January 1, 2027. Each contract is a standalone binary; implied probabilities across states reflect political geography and travel frequency. All eleven resolve via Kalshi staff determination, informed by Guardian reporting. Correlations exist: high-probability states like Wisconsin and North Carolina may move together on presidential travel news.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FGJRXK60J3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14T20:01:04.604Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FGJRXK60J3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CA",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "California",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of California after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
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          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-14T20:01:04.604Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20105.375399999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "donald trump visit",
        "state visit",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-94M90XK107",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-AK",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Alaska",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Alaska: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Alaska after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3338.3118,
      "volume_total_usd": 39409.5645,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "alaska",
        "donald trump visit",
        "state visit",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DQY9H614N8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CO",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Colorado",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Colorado: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Colorado after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official representatives or offices of <person>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 286.7594,
      "volume_total_usd": 1907.1738,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "colorado",
        "donald trump visit",
        "state visit",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2B0KQ9VRT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-HI",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Hawaii",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hawaii: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Hawaii after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Guardian",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.theguardian.com",
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          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
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          },
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.3144,
      "volume_total_usd": 169.0872,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "hawaii",
        "state visit",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B4CY5DMZH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-KS",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Kansas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kansas: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Kansas after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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            "name": "CNBC",
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
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          {
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            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
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          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
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          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
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        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1YKRBQ9X98",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-MN",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Minnesota",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Minnesota: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Minnesota after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
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          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CNBC",
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          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
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          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
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          },
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            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 26.757,
      "volume_total_usd": 2927.2212,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump visit",
        "minnesota",
        "state visit",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B24SN4LJ97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-WI",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Wisconsin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Wisconsin: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T21:58:28Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Wisconsin after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official social media accounts of <person> or their official representatives",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
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          },
          {
            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8172.43,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "state visit",
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        "wisconsin"
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FD7N5LVNY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-NC",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "North Carolina",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "North Carolina: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of North Carolina after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
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            "name": "Politico",
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          },
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            "name": "local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in <area>",
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            "name": "official government sources of <area>",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
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        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.94,
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      "volume_total_usd": 6488.679,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WVMTVV6MZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T39KCTYDG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-SC",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "South Carolina",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "South Carolina: Kalshi staff determination, informed by reporting from The Guardian, resolves whether the named individual visits the referenced state before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of South Carolina after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Donald Trump visit Virginia before Jan 1, 2027?",
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}