{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RJRTFQZDJ0",
  "slug": "kxtrumptariffhear-27jan",
  "question": "Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "supreme-court",
    "tariffs",
    "trump",
    "2026",
    "judicial-review"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the Supreme Court grants certiorari on a Trump tariff-related case before January 2027. Resolution depends on the Supreme Court's official docket and orders published at supremecourt.gov, via Kalshi staff determination. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. Cert grants are formally recorded in the Court's orders list, making resolution straightforward but timing-sensitive.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MS7LFSQ4N1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.23,
    "implied_probability": 0.23
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MS7LFSQ4N1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RJRTFQZDJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPTARIFFHEAR-27JAN-X",
      "question": "What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027?",
      "description": "a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Supreme Court's official docket and orders published at supremecourt.gov determine which cases the Court agrees to hear by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Supreme Court",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.supremecourt.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Supreme Court",
            "url": "https://www.supremecourt.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Supreme Court",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 75,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.0465,
      "volume_total_usd": 6686.7762,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "litigation",
        "supreme court",
        "supreme court trump",
        "tariffs",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RJRTFQZDJ0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}