{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NRXP4NDZC9",
  "slug": "kxtrumptime-26jun13",
  "question": "Will Trump make a late night post during the week of June 7-13?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-social-media",
    "late-night-behavior",
    "political-activity",
    "truth-social",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Trump posts on Truth Social during discrete late-night hour windows, June 7 through June 13, 2026. Each Kalshi contract covers a separate one-hour ET band from 1:00 AM through 5:59 AM, creating a granular time-of-post distribution curve. Together, the five markets let traders express a view on not just whether a late post occurs, but when within the night. Kalshi staff determination uses publicly visible Truth Social post timestamps as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6JY0RL3SG3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WPDC7GW649",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NRXP4NDZC9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPTIME-26JUN13-H1",
      "question": "Will Trump post on Truth Social between 1:00 AM and 1:59 AM ET this week?",
      "description": "1-2 AM",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "1-2 AM: Truth Social public posts by the named account between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET weekly, verified by Kalshi staff determination by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 1:00 AM to 1:59 AM ET on any day from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nEach hour interval is inclusive: \"1:00 AM to 1:59 AM\" means 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM. Deleted posts qualify for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 94.33,
      "volume_total_usd": 140.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "late night",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JY0RL3SG3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NRXP4NDZC9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPTIME-26JUN13-H2",
      "question": "Will Trump post on Truth Social between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET this week?",
      "description": "2-3 AM",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "2-3 AM: Truth Social public posts by the named account between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET weekly, verified by Kalshi staff determination by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-09T14:41:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-09T14:41:49Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 2:00 AM to 2:59 AM ET on any day from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nEach hour interval is inclusive: \"1:00 AM to 1:59 AM\" means 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM. Deleted posts qualify for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4686.68,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "social media",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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        }
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VTWYR95GP9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NRXP4NDZC9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPTIME-26JUN13-H3",
      "question": "Will Trump post on Truth Social between 3:00 AM and 3:59 AM ET this week?",
      "description": "3-4 AM",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "3-4 AM: Truth Social public posts by the named account between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET weekly, verified by Kalshi staff determination by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 3:00 AM to 3:59 AM ET on any day from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nEach hour interval is inclusive: \"1:00 AM to 1:59 AM\" means 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM. Deleted posts qualify for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.12,
      "volume_total_usd": 59.35,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "late night",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-23W422J758",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NRXP4NDZC9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPTIME-26JUN13-H4",
      "question": "Will Trump post on Truth Social between 4:00 AM and 4:59 AM ET this week?",
      "description": "4-5 AM",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4-5 AM: Truth Social public posts by the named account between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET weekly, verified by Kalshi staff determination by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 4:00 AM to 4:59 AM ET on any day from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nEach hour interval is inclusive: \"1:00 AM to 1:59 AM\" means 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM. Deleted posts qualify for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Truth Social",
            "url": "https://truthsocial.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Truth Social",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 51.98,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "late night",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "trump truth social",
        "truth social"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P55TY12M63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NRXP4NDZC9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPTIME-26JUN13-H5",
      "question": "Will Trump post on Truth Social between 5:00 AM and 5:59 AM ET this week?",
      "description": "5-6 AM",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5-6 AM: Truth Social public posts by the named account between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET weekly, verified by Kalshi staff determination by June 13, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-08T19:58:01Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T19:58:01Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 5:00 AM to 5:59 AM ET on any day from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nEach hour interval is inclusive: \"1:00 AM to 1:59 AM\" means 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM. Deleted posts qualify for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Truth Social",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://truthsocial.com",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2482.13,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-23W422J758",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JY0RL3SG3",
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      "event_type": "resolved",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-06-09T15:11:54.498502Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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      "event_type": "resolved",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-NRXP4NDZC9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}