{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VVFT7XSY97",
  "slug": "kxtrumpvslaughter",
  "question": "Will the Supreme Court rule that the President can fire FTC Commissioners at will?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "supreme-court",
    "trump-administration",
    "ftc",
    "executive-power",
    "removal-authority"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the Supreme Court will rule for the executive in Trump v. Slaughter, a case centered on presidential removal authority over FTC Commissioners. A favorable ruling would effectively overturn or narrow Humphrey's Executor, the 1935 precedent protecting independent agency heads from at-will removal. Resolution rests on Kalshi staff determination upon the Court's published opinion. The market closes August 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TLG488C8R9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.93,
    "implied_probability": 0.93
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TLG488C8R9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VVFT7XSY97",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPVSLAUGHTER",
      "question": "Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Slaughter",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The Supreme Court's published decision in Trump v. Slaughter resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935) such that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will, after Issuance and before the August 1, 2027. The market resolves to No if the Supreme Court affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision before August 1, 2027, the market also resolves to No.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Supreme Court",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.supremecourt.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Supreme Court",
            "url": "https://www.supremecourt.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Supreme Court",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 44.36,
      "volume_total_usd": 43446.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive removal power",
        "ftc",
        "separation of powers",
        "supreme court",
        "trump",
        "trump slaughter ftc"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VVFT7XSY97",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}