{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
  "slug": "kxtruthsocial-26jul25",
  "question": "Will Trump post on Truth Social between July 19-25?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-social-media",
    "weekly-activity",
    "posting-volume",
    "2026",
    "behavioral-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Donald Trump's weekly Truth Social post volume for the week of July 19, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as ten discrete count-range buckets, spanning below 80 posts to above 240 posts. All ten contracts resolve via Kalshi staff determination using Roll Call's Trump FactBase as the authoritative post count. The measurement window closes July 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RT81DFW313",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.01,
    "implied_probability": 0.01
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z5DPR852Z6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-T80",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make below 80 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "<80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "<80: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 106.5282,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MPM782X868",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-B89",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 80 and 99 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "80-99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is between 80 and 99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 118.4757,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 99,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F6604TF074",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-B109",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 100 and 119 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "100-119",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is between 100 and 119, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.4537,
      "volume_total_usd": 296.47490000000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 119,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MLNN04QHT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-B129",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "120-139",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "120-139: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is between 120 and 139, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 19233.848700000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 59374.5966,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 139,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RT81DFW313",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-B149",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 140 and 159 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "140-159",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "140-159: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is between 140 and 159, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 256.85150000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 489.7642,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 159,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B1GMNY9LG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-B169",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 160 and 179 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "160-179",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "160-179: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is between 160 and 179, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 125.1566,
      "volume_total_usd": 336.6471,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 179,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WBV3LXZDS8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-B189",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 180 and 199 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "180-199",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "180-199: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is between 180 and 199, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 63.1914,
      "volume_total_usd": 310.4699,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 199,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0LX980F6D4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-B209",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 200 and 219 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "200-219",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "200-219: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is between 200 and 219, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.9833,
      "volume_total_usd": 253.8078,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 219,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CBHN4PXB65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-B230",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 220 and 240 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": "220-240",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "220-240: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is between 220 and 240, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 29.38,
      "volume_total_usd": 179.38080000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 240,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "social-media",
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        "truth-social"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUL25-T240",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make above 240 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?",
      "description": ">240",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": ">240: Roll Call's Trump FactBase Truth Social post count for the week ending July 26, 2026, 2:00 PM ET determines if the named candidate posted within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-26T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is above 240, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Jul 19, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jul 25, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.735899999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 161.2498,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 240,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XPZP0MG799",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}