{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
  "slug": "kxtruthsocial-26jun06",
  "question": "Will Trump make at least one Truth Social post between May 31 and June 6?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-social-media",
    "truth-social",
    "weekly-activity",
    "us-politics",
    "behavioral-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Donald Trump's Truth Social post volume for the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as nine discrete count tiers, ranging from below 80 to above 220 posts. Together the tiers form a full probability distribution over weekly posting volume. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MY6GHDR5K0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7SNSS47K85",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN06-T80",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make below 80 Truth Social posts the week of May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "<80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker for Donald Trump during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 50.33,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-28RF4CRHL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN06-B89",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 80 and 99 Truth Social posts the week of May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "80-99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker for Donald Trump during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is between 80 and 99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 79.1,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 99,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L314G62XR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN06-B109",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 100 and 119 Truth Social posts the week of May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "100-119",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker for Donald Trump during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is between 100 and 119, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 63.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 119,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RF832MHJ43",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN06-B129",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "120-139",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker for Donald Trump during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is between 120 and 139, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 19.88,
      "volume_total_usd": 61.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 139,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-27Q81BPFY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN06-B149",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 140 and 159 Truth Social posts the week of May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "140-159",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker for Donald Trump during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is between 140 and 159, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 115.84,
      "volume_total_usd": 293.76,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 159,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y15Z2FX4N2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN06-B169",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 160 and 179 Truth Social posts the week of May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "160-179",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker for Donald Trump during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is between 160 and 179, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 139.09,
      "volume_total_usd": 380.03,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 179,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GV03BYQWF4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN06-B189",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 180 and 199 Truth Social posts the week of May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "180-199",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker for Donald Trump during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is between 180 and 199, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 121.37,
      "volume_total_usd": 813.12,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 199,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WL03QV0ZW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN06-B210",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump make between 200 and 220 Truth Social posts the week of May 31, 2026?",
      "description": "200-220",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Roll Call's Truth Social post count tracker for Donald Trump during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-07T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is between 200 and 220, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. \"Between\" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Roll Call",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 288.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 1598.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 220,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social-media",
        "trump",
        "truth-social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1379.33,
      "volume_total_usd": 4649.63,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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}