{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TMHG8WLK69",
  "slug": "kxtryfirepowell-26may12",
  "question": "Will Trump attempt to fire Powell as Federal Reserve Chair or Governor?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-fed-chair",
    "powell-removal",
    "federal-reserve-politics",
    "us-executive-power",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether President Trump will attempt to remove Jerome Powell as Fed Chair or Board Governor. All three are Kalshi binary contracts with staggered deadlines: before May 15, 2026, before June 1, 2026, and before 2027. The term structure allows traders to price near-term versus extended removal risk across distinct horizons. Kalshi staff determination relies on ABC News reporting of a termination notice or public statement.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YYPR3J2CJ0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "question": "Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026?",
      "description": "Before May 15, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before May 15, 2026: ABC News reporting on whether the named official receives a termination notice or public statement from the President constitutes the resolution source, with deadline January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-15T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes any of the following:\n\nThe President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\nDirects any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\nPublicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\nThe White House officially announces termination;\nSends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\nInitiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nStatements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\nExpressions of dissatisfaction;\nAsking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\nStating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\nStatements by other officials unless directed by the President;\nUnsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.",
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      "question": "Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
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      "status": "resolved",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXTRYFIREPOWELL-26MAY12-GOV2",
      "question": "Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA \"try to fire\" includes **any** of the following:\n\n- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination;\n- Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person;\n- Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person;\n- The White House officially announces termination;\n- Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination;\n- Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal\n\nThe following do **NOT** qualify:\n\n- Statements that the person \"should\" resign or be fired;\n- Expressions of dissatisfaction;\n- Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation;\n- Stating the President is \"looking into\" whether he can fire the person;\n- Statements by other officials unless directed by the President;\n- Unsent letters ordering termination\n\nThis market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.",
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