{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PTJCD4DK31",
  "slug": "kxubertrips-q2",
  "question": "Uber Technologies total trips, Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      3.85,
      3.9
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 3.4,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.5,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.6,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.7,
        "prob": 95
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.75,
        "prob": 92
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.8,
        "prob": 93
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.85,
        "prob": 82
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.9,
        "prob": 47
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.95,
        "prob": 26
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 14
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.05,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.1,
        "prob": 9
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "uber",
    "rideshare",
    "q2-2026",
    "quarterly-earnings",
    "trips-volume"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Uber Technologies Q2 2026 trip volume against discrete strike thresholds. Kalshi structures all twelve contracts as binary yes/no questions at incremental levels from 3.4 billion to 4.1 billion trips. Together they form an implied probability distribution over the trip volume outcome. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using Uber's official quarterly earnings disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N0JR10YHR7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.47,
    "implied_probability": 0.47,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PTJCD4DK31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUBERTRIPS-Q2-3.4BILLION",
      "question": "Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.4 billion Trips in Q2?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 3.4 billion: The listed company's Q2 trip volume as reported in its quarterly earnings disclosure or official investor update resolves by Kalshi staff determination on or before August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.4 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "company",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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            "name": "official investor relations website of company",
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            "name": "CNBC",
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            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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      "threshold": 3.4,
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        "q2",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K0P99Y5BQ2",
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      "question": "Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.5 billion Trips in Q2?",
      "description": "above 3.5 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 3.5 billion: The listed company's Q2 trip volume as reported in its quarterly earnings disclosure or official investor update resolves by Kalshi staff determination on or before August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T21:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.5 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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          {
            "name": "Seeking Alpha",
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            "name": "Barron's",
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      "question_id": "CMX-FF82D017C3",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R4NNX5W4Y0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PTJCD4DK31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUBERTRIPS-Q2-3.6BILLION",
      "question": "Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.6 billion Trips in Q2?",
      "description": "above 3.6 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 3.6 billion: The listed company's Q2 trip volume as reported in its quarterly earnings disclosure or official investor update resolves by Kalshi staff determination on or before August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T21:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.6 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXRS16WPL2",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXUBERTRIPS-Q2-3.7BILLION",
      "question": "Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.7 billion Trips in Q2?",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZDNXC32KG7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PTJCD4DK31",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUBERTRIPS-Q2-3.75BILLION",
      "question": "Will Uber Technologies, Inc. report above 3.75 billion Trips in Q2?",
      "description": "above 3.75 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 3.75 billion: The listed company's Q2 trip volume as reported in its quarterly earnings disclosure or official investor update resolves by Kalshi staff determination on or before August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T21:00:00Z",
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            "name": "Yahoo Finance",
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