{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
  "slug": "kxusdx-26",
  "question": "What will be the highest value of the DXY in 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "dxy-usdx",
    "currency-markets",
    "forex",
    "us-dollar",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the U.S. Dollar Index closing level on December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures all six contracts as discrete strike thresholds, ranging from 101 to 105. Implied probabilities across the ladder reveal the market-consensus distribution of the DXY at year-end. ICE publishes the authoritative closing print; Kalshi staff determination governs resolution by January 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NJDKSPW557",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJDKSPW557",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSDX-26-T101",
      "question": "Will the price of the USDX be above 101 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 101",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 101: The U.S. Dollar Index closing price on December 31, 2026, as published by ICE, determines resolution by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T18:31:35Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 101 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6524.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 101,
      "question_id": "CMX-29E8DE06CE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "dxy",
        "fx",
        "usd"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PV1H2B4Y53",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSDX-26-T101.75",
      "question": "Will the price of the USDX be above 101.75 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 101.75",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 101.75: The U.S. Dollar Index closing price on December 31, 2026, as published by ICE, determines resolution by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 101.75 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.48,
      "implied_probability": 0.48,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 255.288,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 102,
      "question_id": "CMX-95EF1C47AC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "dxy",
        "fx",
        "usd"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TC5RVKP7Q7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSDX-26-T102",
      "question": "Will the price of the USDX be above 102 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 102",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 102: The U.S. Dollar Index closing price on December 31, 2026, as published by ICE, determines resolution by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 102 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2876.9928,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 102,
      "question_id": "CMX-A52F1EF0F1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "dxy",
        "fx",
        "usd"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W3XNYMDGJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSDX-26-T103",
      "question": "Will the price of the USDX be above 103 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 103",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 103: The U.S. Dollar Index closing price on December 31, 2026, as published by ICE, determines resolution by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 103 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 719.1096,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 103,
      "question_id": "CMX-341CED52B0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "dxy",
        "fx",
        "usd"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YQ7B62TW19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSDX-26-T104",
      "question": "Will the price of the USDX be above 104 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 104",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 104: The U.S. Dollar Index closing price on December 31, 2026, as published by ICE, determines resolution by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 104 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2288.3931000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 104,
      "question_id": "CMX-2C73DED1B6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "dxy",
        "fx",
        "usd"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T7WTW6QYV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSDX-26-T105",
      "question": "Will the price of the USDX be above 105 by Dec 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 105",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 105: The U.S. Dollar Index closing price on December 31, 2026, as published by ICE, determines resolution by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 105 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ICE",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ICE",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ICE",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 771.1032000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 105,
      "question_id": "CMX-73504A910D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "dxy",
        "fx",
        "usd"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "other_interpretation"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJDKSPW557",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T19:31:41.089288Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}