{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
  "slug": "kxusflycan-26jul24",
  "question": "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      8500,
      9000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7500,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8500,
        "prob": 72
      },
      {
        "threshold": 9000,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 9500,
        "prob": 10
      },
      {
        "threshold": 10000,
        "prob": 7
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-aviation",
    "flight-operations",
    "weekly-metric",
    "transportation-economics",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track total US flight cancellations for the week ending July 24, 2026. Kalshi lists 19 binary strike thresholds, from 1,000 to 10,000, each resolving YES if the weekly count exceeds that level. Together they imply a full probability distribution over the cancellation count. Kalshi staff determination applies, sourced against flight-tracking data for domestic and international US-touching routes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SPM9M45XR2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.09,
    "implied_probability": 0.09
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FC397BR792",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T1000",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 1000?",
      "description": "Above 1000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1000: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 1000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2684.81,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2AA7D590D1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NKNR8FK8G0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T1500",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 1500?",
      "description": "Above 1500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1500: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 1500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1689.86,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500,
      "question_id": "CMX-2E4FA08604",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D16B637MK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T2000",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 2000?",
      "description": "Above 2000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2000: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7148.91,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A71ACEC769",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2NPJWNB488",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T2500",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 2500?",
      "description": "Above 2500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2500: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 2500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6664.7,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2500,
      "question_id": "CMX-E1B0F3DDC1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D34WQLFGH8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T3000",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 3000?",
      "description": "Above 3000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3000: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 3000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8743.16,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000,
      "question_id": "CMX-18CC2F518A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2Z21S2K367",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T3500",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 3500?",
      "description": "Above 3500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3500: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 3500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3960.02,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3500,
      "question_id": "CMX-5FEE401B7E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-16XHPD9C47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T4000",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 4000?",
      "description": "Above 4000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4000: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JTH1HMTRW6",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T4500",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 4500?",
      "description": "Above 4500",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 4500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
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    {
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      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 5000?",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KS251TZM14",
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      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 5500?",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 5500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T4ZRRGBYH3",
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      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 6000?",
      "description": "Above 6000",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 6000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
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    {
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      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 6500?",
      "description": "Above 6500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 6500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
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      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 7000?",
      "description": "Above 7000",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 7000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
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      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 7500?",
      "description": "Above 7500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 7500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
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      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 8000?",
      "description": "Above 8000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 8000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 100.69,
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": "CMX-3648F615B6",
      "also_on": null,
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        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QW81T98DQ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T8500",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 8500?",
      "description": "Above 8500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 8500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
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        ],
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SPM9M45XR2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 9000?",
      "description": "Above 9000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 9000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question_id": "CMX-147363BB16",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SMKLZX05Y0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T9500",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 9500?",
      "description": "Above 9500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 9500: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 9500, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.1,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 21.94,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "threshold": 9500,
      "question_id": "CMX-995CC2E324",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2W9KTT38X4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSFLYCAN-26JUL24-T10000",
      "question": "Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 be above 10000?",
      "description": "Above 10000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 10000: Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending July 24, 2026 resolve according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report released July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T20:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T22:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 10000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.\n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "FlightAware",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.71,
      "volume_total_usd": 37.19,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 10000,
      "question_id": "CMX-52EE1FD87E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aviation",
        "cancellations",
        "us flight cancellations",
        "us-flights"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}