{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
  "slug": "kxusgdpshare-27jul01",
  "question": "U.S. share of global GDP, 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      25.6,
      25.7
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 25,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25.2,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25.3,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25.4,
        "prob": 95
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25.5,
        "prob": 92
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25.6,
        "prob": 86
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25.7,
        "prob": 44
      },
      {
        "threshold": 25.8,
        "prob": 36
      },
      {
        "threshold": 26,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 26,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 26,
        "prob": 6
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-economy",
    "global-gdp",
    "macroeconomic-indicator",
    "2027-resolution",
    "comparative-economics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026, expressed as a percentage. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds ranging from 25.1% to 26.1%. The implied distribution across strikes lets traders read a consensus estimate of the modal share level. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination citing World Bank annual GDP data, settling July 8, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V6TQ7WC1S9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.44,
    "implied_probability": 0.44
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BLPJ7BLP12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.1",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.1%?",
      "description": "Above 25.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.1%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13653.37,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": "CMX-06B8171586",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GNJT0JQ283",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.2",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.2%?",
      "description": "Above 25.2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.2%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12587.19,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-07631EF443",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-61T1XRYRR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.3",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.3%?",
      "description": "Above 25.3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.3%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11149.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-E7F52AB209",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FWFG4Q5DJ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.4",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.4%?",
      "description": "Above 25.4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.4%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8870.35,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-E47250189E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CRZNL3ZR97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.5",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.5%?",
      "description": "Above 25.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.5%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3551.22,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-441979DEE5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J8RBYY1DM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.6",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.6%?",
      "description": "Above 25.6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.6%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2634.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-2D61F7D85F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V6TQ7WC1S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.7",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.7%?",
      "description": "Above 25.7%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.7%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 544.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-49F6FAB366",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J1WNM9VBC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.8",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.8%?",
      "description": "Above 25.8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.8%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.36,
      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 268.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-8AA984053E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DT1T4CS5M6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T25.9",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.9%?",
      "description": "Above 25.9%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 25.9%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 180.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 26,
      "question_id": "CMX-E0E972333A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3SSFDC1X51",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T26.0",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 26.0%?",
      "description": "Above 26.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 26.0%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 148.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 26,
      "question_id": "CMX-B70C46828F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8NXBLP76Q0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUSGDPSHARE-27JUL01-T26.1",
      "question": "Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 26.1%?",
      "description": "Above 26.1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 26.1%: Kalshi staff determination using the World Bank's annual GDP data for 2026, with resolution on July 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T05:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.\n\nThe Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP\n\n“United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.\n\nBoth inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 273.01,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 26,
      "question_id": "CMX-0B8CC988B3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "global",
        "share global gdp",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BR70M6FFB1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}