{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1PKBP19C6",
  "slug": "kxust2-26jun30",
  "question": "Will the 2-year US Treasury yield climb by month-end?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-treasury",
    "yield-forecast",
    "fixed-income",
    "2026",
    "economic-indicator"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the 2-year US Treasury yield exceeds discrete strike thresholds before month-end, resolving July 7, 2026. All four Kalshi contracts share the same underlying rate but price different strike levels: 4.10%, 4.15%, 4.20%, and 4.25%. Together they form an implied distribution of the 2Y yield's upper range through June 2026. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination referencing the Federal Reserve Board of Governors as the authoritative yield source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QVPCZBCCB2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-95FFWHQPY4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1PKBP19C6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST2-26JUN30-T4.10",
      "question": "Will 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.10%?",
      "description": "Above 4.10%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.10%: The 2-year US Treasury yield as reported by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors resolves the market on July 7, 2026, by end-of-day closing value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T18:52:40Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T18:52:40Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.10%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8694.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-39D9D5F57F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "bonds",
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        "yield"
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1PKBP19C6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST2-26JUN30-T4.15",
      "question": "Will 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.15%?",
      "description": "Above 4.15%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.15%: The 2-year US Treasury yield as reported by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors resolves the market on July 7, 2026, by end-of-day closing value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T18:53:17Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T18:53:17Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.15%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
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        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15210.88,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.15,
      "question_id": "CMX-DC8614C50E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-87WNYBZR37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1PKBP19C6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST2-26JUN30-T4.20",
      "question": "Will 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.20%?",
      "description": "Above 4.20%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.20%: The 2-year US Treasury yield as reported by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors resolves the market on July 7, 2026, by end-of-day closing value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T18:53:35Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T18:53:35Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.20%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
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        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
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        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2963.7,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-DEE8E29608",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RK1913WHL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H1PKBP19C6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST2-26JUN30-T4.25",
      "question": "Will 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end be above 4.25%?",
      "description": "Above 4.25%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.25%: The 2-year US Treasury yield as reported by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors resolves the market on July 7, 2026, by end-of-day closing value.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T19:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T19:29:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If 2Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
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