{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
  "slug": "kxust30ad-26aug04",
  "question": "30-year U.S. Treasury yield, August 4, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      5.18,
      5.2
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 5.1,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.12,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.14,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.16,
        "prob": 93
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.18,
        "prob": 67
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.2,
        "prob": 28
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.22,
        "prob": 13
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.24,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.26,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.28,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.3,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.32,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.34,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.36,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.38,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "us-treasuries",
    "long-duration-bonds",
    "yield-levels",
    "fixed-income",
    "macroeconomic-indicator"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures exposure as 15 discrete strike thresholds, each a binary above/below question, spanning 5.10% to 5.38% in 2bp increments. Taken together, the ladder implies a probability-weighted yield distribution across that range. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using U.S. Department of the Treasury daily yield curve data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TQFTTV5QD5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.28,
    "implied_probability": 0.28
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1G0VG7CPP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST30AD-26AUG04-T5.10",
      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "5.11% or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5.11% or above: The U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily yield curve data on August 4, 2026 determines whether the 30-year yield closes at or above 5.10%.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2196.81,
      "volume_total_usd": 2196.81,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-62DE5D0121",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "30y us treasury",
        "bonds",
        "fixed-income",
        "treasuries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LD8XZ0ZJX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST30AD-26AUG04-T5.12",
      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "5.13% or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5.13% or above: The U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily yield curve data on August 4, 2026 determines whether the 30-year yield closes at or above 5.10%.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2005.74,
      "volume_total_usd": 2005.74,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.12,
      "question_id": "CMX-8A926CEF94",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "30y us treasury",
        "bonds",
        "fixed-income",
        "treasuries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8MVVXM1SD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST30AD-26AUG04-T5.14",
      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "5.15% or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5.15% or above: The U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily yield curve data on August 4, 2026 determines whether the 30-year yield closes at or above 5.10%.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 71.44,
      "volume_total_usd": 71.44,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.14,
      "question_id": "CMX-E1C20A3630",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "30y us treasury",
        "bonds",
        "fixed-income",
        "treasuries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QZVYKLJ873",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST30AD-26AUG04-T5.16",
      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "5.17% or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5.17% or above: The U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily yield curve data on August 4, 2026 determines whether the 30-year yield closes at or above 5.10%.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 309.6,
      "volume_total_usd": 309.6,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.16,
      "question_id": "CMX-6B6F58E4AB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "30y us treasury",
        "bonds",
        "fixed-income",
        "treasuries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8G04KP2ZD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST30AD-26AUG04-T5.18",
      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "5.19% or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5.19% or above: The U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily yield curve data on August 4, 2026 determines whether the 30-year yield closes at or above 5.10%.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.67,
      "implied_probability": 0.67,
      "volume_24h_usd": 94.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 94.35,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.18,
      "question_id": "CMX-79BD2059AB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "30y us treasury",
        "bonds",
        "fixed-income",
        "treasuries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQFTTV5QD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST30AD-26AUG04-T5.20",
      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "5.21% or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5.21% or above: The U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily yield curve data on August 4, 2026 determines whether the 30-year yield closes at or above 5.10%.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.20% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 374.45,
      "volume_total_usd": 374.45,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-066516335F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "30y us treasury",
        "bonds",
        "fixed-income",
        "treasuries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N38WJ3YL59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST30AD-26AUG04-T5.22",
      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "5.23% or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5.23% or above: The U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily yield curve data on August 4, 2026 determines whether the 30-year yield closes at or above 5.10%.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.22% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 119.42,
      "volume_total_usd": 119.42,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.22,
      "question_id": "CMX-BC681D6BD0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "30y us treasury",
        "bonds",
        "fixed-income",
        "treasuries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4L8WX1Q7S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FZPQW7VWN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXUST30AD-26AUG04-T5.24",
      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "5.25% or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5.25% or above: The U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily yield curve data on August 4, 2026 determines whether the 30-year yield closes at or above 5.10%.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.84,
      "volume_total_usd": 14.84,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.24,
      "question_id": "CMX-EEAF89C53F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "30y us treasury",
        "bonds",
        "fixed-income",
        "treasuries"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L3Y07LQWT9",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.26% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
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        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
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      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.28% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
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        "source_of_record": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "also_on": null,
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        "fixed-income",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Aug 4, 2026?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.32% on Aug 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 4, 2026, or one week following Aug 4, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
            "url": "https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2024",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Aug 4, 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T05:05:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "name": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
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      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Aug 4, 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
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      "question": "Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Aug 4, 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-04T19:30:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "U.S. Department of the Treasury",
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        "sources": [
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}